1993-94 Season

Any And All Things T-Wolves Related
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AbeVigodaLive
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Re: 1993-94 Season

Post by AbeVigodaLive »

TRKO wrote:If he is Derozan 2.0 I would be more than happy with that. How could you not be? He may not be Kobe or Lebron, but we have other guys that can take that number one role.



I just heard a podcast from a couple of analytical hoop nerds from SI (Golliver and Mahoney?)... Anyway, they do not like DeMar Derozan. At all. They reluctantly ranked him as the 46th best player in the league. That's not a bad thing. But is it a max contract thing?

And how much value does "getting buckets" have with the more analytical number crunchers dominating NBA talk/decisions these days?

No real point here other than that DeRozan is a polarizing player around the league. So if anything, are the Wolves in good shape long-term paying about $30M to Derozan v2.0? Or, can Wiggins be even better?


[Note: One area that would go a long way to Wiggins surpassing DeRozan is continuing to improve his three point shot. Say... 38% or 39% on three pointers? That gives him a lot of distance over the guy up north.]
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longstrangetrip [enjin:6600564]
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Re: 1993-94 Season

Post by longstrangetrip [enjin:6600564] »

I've never embraced the Wiggins/Derozan comparison. The only similarity I see is that they are both very good athletes. But one can shoot the basketball, and the other can't. DeRozan's college 3-point and free throw stats were 17% and 65%, respectively, as opposed to Wig's 34% and 78%...in no universe are those considered similar shooting stats. And Wig averaged 23.6 PPG in his third year compared to 16.7 for DeRozan. In my opinion, the only way DeRozan should be mentioned in the same sentence as Wig would be as "a poor shooting version of Wig".
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AbeVigodaLive
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Re: 1993-94 Season

Post by AbeVigodaLive »

longstrangetrip wrote:I've never embraced the Wiggins/Derozan comparison. The only similarity I see is that they are both very good athletes. But one can shoot the basketball, and the other can't. DeRozan's college 3-point and free throw stats were 17% and 65%, respectively, as opposed to Wig's 34% and 78%...in no universe are those considered similar shooting stats. And Wig averaged 23.6 PPG in his third year compared to 16.7 for DeRozan. In my opinion, the only way DeRozan should be mentioned in the same sentence as Wig would be as "a poor shooting version of Wig".



Can't wait until we get to compare Wiggins 8th season in the league to another prospect's 2nd season and another player's 4th season and another player's 6th season and another player's 12th season.

Gonna be a great debate.
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Q12543 [enjin:6621299]
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Re: 1993-94 Season

Post by Q12543 [enjin:6621299] »

Here is why I compare the two of them:

- They both entered the draft after one year of school as very athletic wings and were picked in the lottery.

- They both essentially play the same position.

- DeRozan struggled with his ball handling and play making skills early in his career, very similar to how we have seen Wiggins struggle early in his career.

- Neither are good defenders, although again, Wiggins is not a finished product yet.

- DeRozan is actually a better shooter than Wiggins, especially in his 16-20 foot sweet spot and from the free throw line, until you get to the 3-point line. It's at that point that Wiggins is better, but it's not like Wiggins is even close to a high volume sniper from out there yet. The bottom line is that both are better at slashing and creating offense inside the arc than outside the arc. DeRozan has been able to optimize his efficiency using a fairly inefficient approach. But he's probably hit his ceiling in this regard, whereas Andrew hasn't yet.

- Neither are good at the "do shit" stats - rebounding, assists, steals, blocks, deflections, charges taken, etc. They are both very similar in this regard, although DeRozan has gradually turned into a better play maker for others over the past couple of years.

In fact, I honestly can't find a better player to compare Wiggins to....
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Q12543 [enjin:6621299]
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Re: 1993-94 Season

Post by Q12543 [enjin:6621299] »

AbeVigodaLive wrote:
TRKO wrote:If he is Derozan 2.0 I would be more than happy with that. How could you not be? He may not be Kobe or Lebron, but we have other guys that can take that number one role.



I just heard a podcast from a couple of analytical hoop nerds from SI (Golliver and Mahoney?)... Anyway, they do not like DeMar Derozan. At all. They reluctantly ranked him as the 46th best player in the league. That's not a bad thing. But is it a max contract thing?

And how much value does "getting buckets" have with the more analytical number crunchers dominating NBA talk/decisions these days?

No real point here other than that DeRozan is a polarizing player around the league. So if anything, are the Wolves in good shape long-term paying about $30M to Derozan v2.0? Or, can Wiggins be even better?


[Note: One area that would go a long way to Wiggins surpassing DeRozan is continuing to improve his three point shot. Say... 38% or 39% on three pointers? That gives him a lot of distance over the guy up north.]


Yup, he does not do great with the stat-heads. Volume scorers that eat a lot of possessions with average efficiency and mediocre defense typically don't live up to their contract value. Lowry is the true star of that team, but I think we've seen that Lowry as your best player and DeRozan as your second best just isn't good enough to get out of the East. And out West, they would be lucky to get out of the first round of a playoff series.....
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Lipoli390
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Re: 1993-94 Season

Post by Lipoli390 »

Q12543 wrote:Those are good examples, but also exceptions to the rule. Wiggins has shown zero improvement as a rebounder, as his rebound percentage has gone down since being a rookie. One thing that would boost his per game numbers, but not necessarily rebound % numbers, is if the team finally plays good defense and creates more missed shots. Then everyone's per game rebound numbers will go up.

The general point is that we simply aren't going to see Wiggins transform himself into a swiss army knife wing that generates a bunch of turnovers, grabs a bunch of rebounds, is a triple double threat, etc. It just isn't going to happen.

What is realistic to expect is that he plays defense with better awareness and effort and that his shot selection and making becomes more efficient (e.g. more 3-pointers and fewer contested long 2s).


I count five exceptions - Bradley, Westbrook, Harden, Pippen and Jordan. I'm sure there are others. In any event, I don't think anyone is suggesting that Wiggins suddenly becomes a Scottie Pippen averaging 2.5 steals, 7 boards and 5 assists per night. But I can see him ramping up his rebounds from 4 to 6. If he does that, along with more efficient scoring (through more made 3-pointers) and better, more consistent defense, then he'll be everything we need him to be - assuming we get what I'm expecting to get from Butler and Towns.

For all of those who've read my posts on this board, it's clear that I have serious doubts about the development of Wiggins. I've seen him far too often look like he's daydreaming on the court. Garnett told someone privately that "Wiggins has no heart." I remember a Milt Newton interview when he recalled Flip essentially "flip out" on Wiggins in practice because of Andrew's lack of intensity. So there's plenty of doubt and a number of doubters when it comes to Wiggins ever being more than a gifted high volume scorer. But Thibs doesn't seem to have those doubts and he's not one to gloss over lack of competitive fire or intensity. Thibs has repeatedly talked about competitiveness being expressed in different ways, implying if not outright saying that Wiggins is fiercely competitive and intense beneath his quiet, seemingly casual demeanor.

So here's how I'm looking at things. I have no doubt about what Jimmy Butler is -- an allstar on both sides of the ball a la Scottie Pippen. I have no doubt about what Towns will become -- a dominant big, perennial allstar who will fill the box score with points, rebounds, assists and blocks. He'll score inside and out and I'm certain the defense will come because the intensity and competitive fire are there to complement his incredible physical gifts. I'm not sure what Wiggins will become. I think he'll improve his shooting and become a more efficient scorer. I hope he'll improve a lot defensively and ramp up his rebounding. I still think he can become a star.
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Monster
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Re: 1993-94 Season

Post by Monster »

If Wiggins just becomes a good defender and also continues to progress in his offensive capabilities he could be such a weapon in the playoffs even without the other Q-score stuff. It's kinda fun to look at NBA.com at how various guys finish within 5 feet of the rim or how many drives they take per game and what happens when they do it. Wiggins does pretty well already in these categories. Fun thing O noticed was Derrick Rose drives a lot gets and inside of 5' and gets up shots at a pretty high rate. One big reason Kyrie is a guy teams salivate for is he can score at any given time especially in the playoffs. Wiggins may not get to that level but he is pretty proficient as a scorer already. There is absolutely some room to grow in his offensive game and he is still only 22 and has played 3 seasons and for 3 different coaches even if he has gotten a bunch of minutes each year. There are also some signs of him being a guy that takes his game up a level in games that have some sort of importance. It's frustrating at times when he does that and it remains to be seen if his game can ramp up in playoff games where things really get tough but I think it's possible he really shines there during his career.
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MikkeMan
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Re: 1993-94 Season

Post by MikkeMan »

lipoli390 wrote:
Q12543 wrote:Those are good examples, but also exceptions to the rule. Wiggins has shown zero improvement as a rebounder, as his rebound percentage has gone down since being a rookie. One thing that would boost his per game numbers, but not necessarily rebound % numbers, is if the team finally plays good defense and creates more missed shots. Then everyone's per game rebound numbers will go up.

The general point is that we simply aren't going to see Wiggins transform himself into a swiss army knife wing that generates a bunch of turnovers, grabs a bunch of rebounds, is a triple double threat, etc. It just isn't going to happen.

What is realistic to expect is that he plays defense with better awareness and effort and that his shot selection and making becomes more efficient (e.g. more 3-pointers and fewer contested long 2s).


I count five exceptions - Bradley, Westbrook, Harden, Pippen and Jordan. I'm sure there are others. In any event, I don't think anyone is suggesting that Wiggins suddenly becomes a Scottie Pippen averaging 2.5 steals, 7 boards and 5 assists per night. But I can see him ramping up his rebounds from 4 to 6. If he does that, along with more efficient scoring (through more made 3-pointers) and better, more consistent defense, then he'll be everything we need him to be - assuming we get what I'm expecting to get from Butler and Towns.

For all of those who've read my posts on this board, it's clear that I have serious doubts about the development of Wiggins. I've seen him far too often look like he's daydreaming on the court. Garnett told someone privately that "Wiggins has no heart." I remember a Milt Newton interview when he recalled Flip essentially "flip out" on Wiggins in practice because of Andrew's lack of intensity. So there's plenty of doubt and a number of doubters when it comes to Wiggins ever being more than a gifted high volume scorer. But Thibs doesn't seem to have those doubts and he's not one to gloss over lack of competitive fire or intensity. Thibs has repeatedly talked about competitiveness being expressed in different ways, implying if not outright saying that Wiggins is fiercely competitive and intense beneath his quiet, seemingly casual demeanor.

So here's how I'm looking at things. I have no doubt about what Jimmy Butler is -- an allstar on both sides of the ball a la Scottie Pippen. I have no doubt about what Towns will become -- a dominant big, perennial allstar who will fill the box score with points, rebounds, assists and blocks. He'll score inside and out and I'm certain the defense will come because the intensity and competitive fire are there to complement his incredible physical gifts. I'm not sure what Wiggins will become. I think he'll improve his shooting and become a more efficient scorer. I hope he'll improve a lot defensively and ramp up his rebounding. I still think he can become a star.


Q have compared Wiggins several times to DeRozan. I think he is another example of player that has improved his rebounding after being pretty bad in first couple of seasons. His per 36 minutes rebounding stats were actually decreasing in his first three seasons. From 4.8 to 4.0 and 3.4 but since then he has improved and last year he averaged already pretty respectable 5.3 rebounds per 36 minutes.

Similar what Lip already wrote, I don't expect that Wiggins would suddenly turn Pippen like stat stuffing machine but I think it is still pretty realistic to expect that he could make similar improvement than DeRozan has made in non scoring aspects of his game. If you compare DeRozan's do shit stats to Wiggins in the beginning of career, it seems that Wiggins has done actually better especially if you consider that he has had higher usage all the time. Than if you compare DeRozan's last season to Kobe Bryant's around same age, you might be surprised how close their stats are. Bryant had about one more assist per 36 minutes and got more blocks but their steals and rebounding numbers were almost identical and DeRozan had much less turnovers.

Oddly I feel that Wiggins possible improvement in rebounding depends on whether he improves as passer and play making in general. If his ability to make plays to others improves, it makes more sense to him to go and crab defensive boards because he can be ball handler in fast break. At least is seems that quite many wings have improved their defensive rebounding around same time their assist number improved. (DeRozan, Durant, Pippen, Jordan, Antetokounmpo, Jimmy Butler and Harden. Of course there are some counter examples like McGrady and Kawhi) Currently it is better for him to run up court and be option to for finishing the break. Unfortunately he too seldom truly utilizes his superior athletic ability in fast breaks.

Personally I believe that Wiggins will end up somewhere between Kobe and DeRozan but hopefully better three point shooter than either of them.
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Q12543 [enjin:6621299]
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Re: 1993-94 Season

Post by Q12543 [enjin:6621299] »

The difference between Kobe and DeRozan is that Kobe could lock people down defensively and was an alpha dog competitor. Also, what passed as efficient offense in Kobe's days simply doesn't cut it as top tier anymore. The top scorers in today's NBA are posting TS% of 60% or better. Back in Kobe's day, a 55% TS was quite good because the 3 wasn't being utilized as much. Now it's just kind of "meh".

So I still think Wiggins ends up closer to the DeRozan side of that spectrum than Kobe. But if Butler keeps being Butler and KAT becomes better defensively, than Wiggins as DeRozan 2.0 is a pretty damn good 3rd guy.
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Lipoli390
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Re: 1993-94 Season

Post by Lipoli390 »

Q12543 wrote:The difference between Kobe and DeRozan is that Kobe could lock people down defensively and was an alpha dog competitor. Also, what passed as efficient offense in Kobe's days simply doesn't cut it as top tier anymore. The top scorers in today's NBA are posting TS% of 60% or better. Back in Kobe's day, a 55% TS was quite good because the 3 wasn't being utilized as much. Now it's just kind of "meh".

So I still think Wiggins ends up closer to the DeRozan side of that spectrum than Kobe. But if Butler keeps being Butler and KAT becomes better defensively, than Wiggins as DeRozan 2.0 is a pretty damn good 3rd guy.


I'm where you are, Q. I'm still hoping Wiggins becomes more than that. He certainly has the physical characteristics to be much better than DeRozan 2.0. But at this point, I'll take DeRozan 2.0 on the assumption that Butler continues to be who he's been and KAT becomes who I think he'll become.
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