Win Total

[Carlos Danger]

I'm going with 40 wins - same as last year. Here's why:
Coaching: I think Adelman was good, but not entirely focused due to personal issues. Net effect = Upgrade
PG: No changes at starter. Mo might be better than JJ as backup - not sure. Net effect = Push or upgrade for JJ haters
SG: No changes at starter. Who ever gets most minutes at back up will be better than Shved last year. Net effect = Upgrade
SF: Assume Wiggins starts and Brewer off bench. That means last year's start is now bench depth. Net effect = Upgrade
C: No changes at starter or depth. Net effect = Push.
PF: This is the wild card. How good was Love? We all know he put up numbers. But I expect a different type of team this year. Thad Young is capable starter. Bennett looks to be a nice improvement from Cunningham off the bench. Based on Love being a top player, this has to go down as the only downgrade from last year. But how much so? We'll find out soon!

So add it up position by position and include coach....I'm hoping for a push this year to last year while the new guys gell with the new coach.

[alexftbl8181 [enjin:6648741]]

Hmm.. Just ran the first version of the Klunk-O-Meter. It projects the Wolves record at 50-32!

1-1 in October. 7-6 in November. 9-6 in December.

Let's go!

has that system ever been right?

[Phenom]

I see Tims 50 and raise him 1. 51!

[kekgeek]

I will go with 32, they will start off good, then injuries and the rookie wall will hit, and they will struggle badly

[ahughes53 [enjin:6639223]]

I'll go with 36, based solely on the fact that with Love gone I think Rubio has a career year and wins MIP. Predicting 15-18 ppg, 4-6 rebs, and 9-11 assists. Think we will be a much more fun team to watch too, team kind of looks like the type of team Kahn envisioned actually...

[Coolbreeze44]

Okay, time for an update:

Q 25

AVL 26

Bass 27

Khans 30

Kek 32

Cool 33

Kiwi 34

Apollo 35

AHughes 36

SJM 37

Lloyd 37

World 39

LST 40

CDanger 40

Doper 43

50WinTim 50

Phenom 51.51


By the look of things, someone is going to be exactly right.

[Coolbreeze44]

So far it equates to an average o 36.2 Wins. The median win total is 36.

[Q12543 [enjin:6621299]]

So far it equates to an average o 36.2 Wins. The median win total is 36.

Interesting crowd sourcing exercise. Considering the fact it's a biased group, I would discount this number by a few wins and say that anything between my prediction (25) and your's (33) seems like a reasonable estimate. We would need so much to go right in terms of accelerated learning curves and good health to hit the 35 and over range IMO.

[Coolbreeze44]

So far it equates to an average o 36.2 Wins. The median win total is 36.

Interesting crowd sourcing exercise. Considering the fact it's a biased group, I would discount this number by a few wins and say that anything between my prediction (25) and your's (33) seems like a reasonable estimate. We would need so much to go right in terms of accelerated learning curves and good health to hit the 35 and over range IMO.

I think the conference we play in has a huge bearing on our expected win total. In the East we are probably a playoff team. The schedule is going to severely limit our success.

To your point, we can say with 90% certainty that the win total is going to fall between 22 and 36 wins, with an error allowance of + /- 3%.

[alexftbl8181 [enjin:6648741]]

Ill say 28 for a few reasons,

Yea they're depth is better, but as I saw on twitter, having your 10-15th guys being better then the other teams 10th-15th guys doesn't mean as much as 1-5 going against the other teams 1-5, and the Wolves did not improve there.

Coaching. I just think Flip's system is super outdated and not good for any of our guys. Also our assistants stink. More zone defense sounds good, but there's a reason why teams don't run it that much is because teams that can shoot, destroy the zone. I shudder to think of using that strategy against the Spurs.

I think our Sophomore players take a step back. Bazz because I don't think he can play, and I still think Dieng is a year away from really catching on. I don't think the numbers he put up last year will be sustainable.

While we lost a lot of close games because of luck, another big reason is because we didn't have anybody to score in the 4th quarter. You pretty much take Love out for either Thad or Bennett. So is anti-clutch Martin your go to guy? I know people wanna say that you just run your offense, but theres a reason why EVERY top team has a take over superstar (please don't say the Spurs, they are a different animal).

On the plus side, next year I think the Wolves make the big leap provided they can get a hot coach and a free agent scorer