And to expand on Abe's point... Randle's numbers are just fine. He hasn't quite replaced KAT's numbers, but they aren't that far off.AbeVigodaLive wrote: ↑Mon Dec 23, 2024 2:16 pmLipoli390 wrote: ↑Mon Dec 23, 2024 11:11 amI want to emphasize a point you made, Wolvesfan21. You mentioned your worry that we’d lose one or both of NAW and Naz if Randle opts in. I’ll just add that there’s no if in this equation. Julius Randle absolutely will opt in since there is not team out there that will give him that much money as a free agent. That’s why I’m absolutely convinced we need to trade him by the February deadline. We won’t be able to trade Randle after the season because the Wolves are over the 2nd apron which means they can’t sign-and-trade of of their players. As a result, Randle will opt in and we won’t be able to sign Naz and probably won’t her able to sign NAW either.Wolvesfan21 wrote: ↑Fri Dec 20, 2024 6:28 pm
I was thinking the same thing, Conley is starting to look pretty cooked, is he still bothered with the wrist?
If the team isn't firing on all cylinders in another month or so it would be time to see if a Randle trade is out there along with bumping up the young guys into more playing time even starting (Dilly over Conley possibly to inject scoring).
My other worry with Randle is if he decides to opt in next year and we then potentially lose one or both of NAW and Naz because of Randles salary. Is there an expiring for Randle that makes some sense which then simply opens up minutes for the young guys and gives us better chance of retaining Naz and NAW?
I just like the potential of the young guys and this season is starting to feel more like a non contending team (Boston and OKC look so good and I am having a hard time seeing us beating both even if things do start to click).
At what point do you prioritize the future over the current? Those young guys could really surprise also and a Randle trade
could really open up the offense for Ant and others too. DDV struggling and Naz not exactly firing on offense. I can potentially see a top 5 offense if things go right. With Randle just ISO ball, sure it's decently effective. However it feels like it inhibits the offense from being better at the same time.
The other thing I was thinking was with Conley playing poor and Ant getting doubled. Like WTF are we suppose to do? Jaden and Rudy are obviously not great options. Even if Conley just started playing like last year we'd be in decent shape on offense. Time will tell.
Unfortunately, the rest of the League is aware of the Wolves predicament. Moreover, Randle is not a coveted asset. Consequently, we’ll probably have to attached the Detroit pick we received for KAT to entice a team to take Randle in exchange for an expiring contract. That’s the best we’ll be able to do — i.e., trading Randle plus the Detroit pick in exchange for an expiring contract for payroll room to re-sign Naz and possibly re-sign NAW.
Even if we pull all that off, re-signing both Naz and NAW and getting below the 2nd apron threshold, we’ll still be well over the salary cap with limited draft assets. That’s why it’s so important to start getting good looks at Minott, Dilly and TSJ (maybe also Miller and Clark) in meaningful NBA minutes. We need to get a better sense of their potential and also give them the opportunity to develop through real game experience. I’d like to see this happen sooner rather than later. I don’t think we have to wait until early February to know that this Wolves team is NOT going to contend for a championship. At best, this team will end up in the 7th or 8th position after competing in the play-in tournament.
To be fair... are we certain THAT much has changed?
Back in October, there were reports that Randle would probably opt out and look for something like a 3/$100M deal. (basically an extension of his current deal)
Or last April, there was speculation he might seek a 4 year/$160M deal. In September, speculation was that he'd want (and earned) at least as much as Jarrett Allen ($30M)... and that signing as a FA for around $20M was too low.
I know Wolves fans are on a heater ripping the guy (justifiably). I just don't know if his value around the league is as low as many of us believe. Has it dropped THAT much in 25 games?
If you compare numbers from this year's team to last year's team, Conley and Naz have fallen off a cliff. Which pretty much tells the story of our offensive woes. Is Randle the source of their diminished offensive prowess?