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Re: ***OFFICIAL 2020-21 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Thu Dec 17, 2020 1:57 pm
by khans2k5 [enjin:6608728]
FNG wrote:AbeVigodaLive wrote:FNG wrote:Camden wrote:FiveThirtyEight projects the Wolves to go 35-37 this year.
Wow- I would guess 35 is about the mean here! Maybe we're smarter than Vegas!
I predicted 35 - 37. Does that make me the smartest of all!?!?!?!?!
[Note: That doesn't sound right...]
Nope, being on the same page with Nate Silver does not make you the smartest. Silver also predicted that Joe Biden would win the presidency, and Rand Paul and Ron Johnson are telling me that Trump won ;-) .
After seeing the 538 polls/predictions prior to the election and the actual result of the election (specifically how much closer it was than projected) I fully expect the Wolves to win significantly fewer than 35 games now. That prediction has me pretty comfortable with my 26 prediction now.
Re: ***OFFICIAL 2020-21 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Thu Dec 17, 2020 3:06 pm
by 60WinTim
khans2k5 wrote:After seeing the 538 polls/predictions prior to the election and the actual result of the election (specifically how much closer it was than projected) I fully expect the Wolves to win significantly fewer than 35 games now. That prediction has me pretty comfortable with my 26 prediction now.
Well, if their error of 9 games is on the other side, my 44 is looking pretty damn good! :)
Re: ***OFFICIAL 2020-21 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Thu Dec 17, 2020 3:35 pm
by AbeVigodaLive
Didn't 538 give Trump a much higher chance to win than most pollsters in 2016? And didn't they simply assign a specific percentage for each candidate to win in 2020... and... then explain that it was conceivable that either candidate would win... and then... the results showed that the candidate 538 said had a better chance to win...
... actually won?
I guess I'm confused why that site is now the whipping boy.
Re: ***OFFICIAL 2020-21 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Thu Dec 17, 2020 3:41 pm
by Coolbreeze44
FNG wrote:AbeVigodaLive wrote:FNG wrote:Camden wrote:FiveThirtyEight projects the Wolves to go 35-37 this year.
Wow- I would guess 35 is about the mean here! Maybe we're smarter than Vegas!
I predicted 35 - 37. Does that make me the smartest of all!?!?!?!?!
[Note: That doesn't sound right...]
Nope, being on the same page with Nate Silver does not make you the smartest. Silver also predicted that Joe Biden would win the presidency, and Rand Paul and Ron Johnson are telling me that Trump won ;-) .
I can clarify for you - Trump definitely won and it wasn't all that close. The question is will it matter?
Re: ***OFFICIAL 2020-21 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Fri Dec 18, 2020 12:35 am
by TheFuture
CoolBreeze44 wrote:FNG wrote:AbeVigodaLive wrote:FNG wrote:Camden wrote:FiveThirtyEight projects the Wolves to go 35-37 this year.
Wow- I would guess 35 is about the mean here! Maybe we're smarter than Vegas!
I predicted 35 - 37. Does that make me the smartest of all!?!?!?!?!
[Note: That doesn't sound right...]
Nope, being on the same page with Nate Silver does not make you the smartest. Silver also predicted that Joe Biden would win the presidency, and Rand Paul and Ron Johnson are telling me that Trump won ;-) .
I can clarify for you - Trump definitely won and it wasn't all that close. The question is will it matter?
I am not a big Trump character fan, but I can get behind what he is trying, and what he has had to endure. I cannot wrap my head around those who support Biden. I mean Harris.
Re: ***OFFICIAL 2020-21 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Fri Dec 18, 2020 2:00 am
by D-Mac [enjin:19736340]
CoolBreeze44 wrote:FNG wrote:AbeVigodaLive wrote:FNG wrote:Camden wrote:FiveThirtyEight projects the Wolves to go 35-37 this year.
Wow- I would guess 35 is about the mean here! Maybe we're smarter than Vegas!
I predicted 35 - 37. Does that make me the smartest of all!?!?!?!?!
[Note: That doesn't sound right...]
Nope, being on the same page with Nate Silver does not make you the smartest. Silver also predicted that Joe Biden would win the presidency, and Rand Paul and Ron Johnson are telling me that Trump won ;-) .
I can clarify for you - Trump definitely won and it wasn't all that close. The question is will it matter?
I knew I liked you
Re: ***OFFICIAL 2020-21 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Fri Dec 18, 2020 2:13 am
by kekgeek
I refuse to make the Wolves predictions thread political so everyone shut up and predict wins
Re: ***OFFICIAL 2020-21 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Fri Dec 18, 2020 6:42 am
by BloopOracle
Agreed kek, it already took over the Beasley thread so I'd rather it stay contained
Re: ***OFFICIAL 2020-21 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Fri Dec 18, 2020 11:10 am
by TAFKASP
After that putrid preseason I'm going to need to adjust my prediction down to 49.8 wins.
Re: ***OFFICIAL 2020-21 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Fri Dec 18, 2020 12:42 pm
by Coolbreeze44
D-Mac wrote:CoolBreeze44 wrote:FNG wrote:AbeVigodaLive wrote:FNG wrote:Camden wrote:FiveThirtyEight projects the Wolves to go 35-37 this year.
Wow- I would guess 35 is about the mean here! Maybe we're smarter than Vegas!
I predicted 35 - 37. Does that make me the smartest of all!?!?!?!?!
[Note: That doesn't sound right...]
Nope, being on the same page with Nate Silver does not make you the smartest. Silver also predicted that Joe Biden would win the presidency, and Rand Paul and Ron Johnson are telling me that Trump won ;-) .
I can clarify for you - Trump definitely won and it wasn't all that close. The question is will it matter?
I knew I liked you
;-)