Wolvesfan21 wrote: ↑Fri Apr 24, 2026 10:20 am
Q-is-here wrote: ↑Fri Apr 24, 2026 8:52 am
What's funny (and I've pointed it out numerous times) is that DDV has an awful net rating and net on/off rating track record over his career in the playoffs. This is with multiple teams in multiple contexts and with a large sample size.
I know he isn't the ideal fit in the starting lineup because he isn't really a PG (Ayo is certainly more point guard-y than DDV), but he's close to ideal with all the "white space" he fills up without the ball in his hands: Shooting, off ball movement, chasing down loose balls, pesky defense, etc. If anything, Ayo has lifted his game as he can pair up with him more with Ayo taking on the more difficult defensive assignment.
I'm concerned about Ant, as you would think after the week off with no games and now shaking the rust off he would be starting to get into a rythym. But I'm not seeing it and there is no reason to think it's going to get any better at this point. So far I'd call his play "adequate". He still draws the opposing team's best defender and attracts a ton of attention, but he obviously isn't shooting the ball well and seems a step slow at times.
I'm with you on Ant. While I think we now can win this series because we're finally playing up to our standard and potential. His injury sounds like the type that needs months of rest to get better, not just a week or a couple. Continuing to play won't help it either.
So with an Ant at 70-80% or whatever number you put on it, we are a very long shot of making the Finals.
With Ant healthy I'd give us a slight chance, with him hobbled. I'm going to say impossible.
I think it's fair to be worried about Ant, WF and Q, and I would also call his play so far only "adequate". But I don't agree that winning this series is impossible if Ant's health remains the same, so I'm remaining optimistic. I didn't like seeing him limping to the locker room twice last night, but I tend to think it's rust more than the knee that is hurting his performance. Here's why I'm not as concerned about the knee as most here:
1) Dane Moore sitting courtside tweeted that Ant looked healthy. I think he mis-tweeted, because a guy who is limping to the locker room can't be deemed healthy. I assume he meant to say it didn't appear his knee was impacting his play that much.
2) And that matches what I am seeing on my TV screen. I don't think he could show the occasional bursts of athleticism he has shown if the knee was really limiting him. His shot has been off to be sure, but he looks quite mobile and athletic on the defensive end. And it shows up in the stats...the Wolves are giving up 14.8 fewer points per 100 possessions when Ant is on the court versus off! He seems to have "flipped the switch" on defense.
3) Finally, we're winning with this subpar version of Ant, because Denver is missing two key players and our role players are so much better than theirs. We've won the non-Ant minutes in the past two wins by 6 and 5 points. I'm not saying we don't need Ant...just that our supporting cast is helping us overcome his poor outside shooting.
Ant has been much more effective driving to the rim than jacking up 3-pointers and Denver's lack of interior defense fits into that very nicely...he may be only 25% on threes, but he is 16 for 31 on layups and midrange shots. You can bet Finchy and Ant's teammates are encouraging him to keep attacking the rim. Now looking ahead (sorry, guys), this will not be as effective a strategy if we end up going against Wemby in the next round. I'll be cheering for Portland along with the Wolves in the first round!