Re: Morey’s Ever-Shrinking Leverage
Posted: Thu Sep 30, 2021 6:50 pm
https://theathletic.com/2854156/2021/09/28/ben-simmons-believes-playing-with-joel-embiid-has-run-its-course-and-sixers-media-day-messages-fall-flat-with-him/
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https://forum.midwestvolleyball.com/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?t=25572
lipoli390 wrote:Here's how much money Ben Simmons will lose if he doesn't rejoin the 76ers (via @Bobby Marks)
#NBATwitter pic.twitter.com/1uSvJlOEyF - 3:08 PM
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FAjjo7LXIAE5Na8.jpg
If Simmons sits out the entire season, all 82 games plus training camp, he can be fined a total of just under $23 million. That would mean he'd net about $10 million in salary for the season without playing a single game. As of the end of the day tomorrow, Simmons will have already been paid half of his annual salary - i.e., slightly over $16 million. I suspect he has some other endorsement money coming this season as well. Moreover, the Sixers would have to officially suspend Simmons before they can fine him a penny. If you think Ben's trade value is low now, imagine what it would be after a suspension.
But honestly, the question isn't whether Simmons will return and play any games for the Sixers this season. Clearly he won't. He's not going to completely jettison his pride and self-respect for another $10M that he probably doesn't need. More importantly, he knows the Sixers can't afford to play a significant number of games, much less the entire season, without Simmons or without at least some reasonable value in return that can help the team on the court or facilitate another deal during the season. The only questions are how many days (not weeks) into the season Morey will wait before trading Simmons and who/what the Sixers will ultimately get in return.
monsterpile wrote:lipoli390 wrote:Here's how much money Ben Simmons will lose if he doesn't rejoin the 76ers (via @Bobby Marks)
#NBATwitter pic.twitter.com/1uSvJlOEyF - 3:08 PM
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FAjjo7LXIAE5Na8.jpg
If Simmons sits out the entire season, all 82 games plus training camp, he can be fined a total of just under $23 million. That would mean he'd net about $10 million in salary for the season without playing a single game. As of the end of the day tomorrow, Simmons will have already been paid half of his annual salary - i.e., slightly over $16 million. I suspect he has some other endorsement money coming this season as well. Moreover, the Sixers would have to officially suspend Simmons before they can fine him a penny. If you think Ben's trade value is low now, imagine what it would be after a suspension.
But honestly, the question isn't whether Simmons will return and play any games for the Sixers this season. Clearly he won't. He's not going to completely jettison his pride and self-respect for another $10M that he probably doesn't need. More importantly, he knows the Sixers can't afford to play a significant number of games, much less the entire season, without Simmons or without at least some reasonable value in return that can help the team on the court or facilitate another deal during the season. The only questions are how many days (not weeks) into the season Morey will wait before trading Simmons and who/what the Sixers will ultimately get in return.
Also worth keeping in mind that all money Simmons doesn't make goes straight to NBA charities.
FWIW I believe it was Kendrick Perkins that reported that Josh Harris the managing partner of the Sixers (and NJ Devils) said he is ready to hold out for a good deal for Simmons or...not take a bad one.
I Get Simmons is a really good player (especially defensively) but honestly I think a couple offers that were made (reportedly) a few weeks ago were quite reasonable and maybe you tell one of those teams throw in another asset like another first round pick and get the deal done. Imagine Philly having a pretty good guard, plus possibly another starting level player plus at least another first round pick which you could add to bring in an upgrade in talent during the season. The Bucks won a championship without another star player other than Giannis. Middleton is a very good 2-way player but probably not a "star" but Holiday was also a huge get for the Bucks. The Sixers might not be able to bring in a Jrue Holiday but maybe they could get another piece like when the Bucks added Tucker last season.
Camden wrote:I wish I could say I'm surprised by anything that's unfolded over the past couple months, but the signs were there showing how this would end up. The longer Daryl Morey waited, the messier this situation was going to get, and the more risk would be involved in determining the return Philadelphia eventually gets back for Ben Simmons. Like I said in another thread, I don't even think Portland moves C.J. McCollum for Simmons at this point. There are various players who might have been available for trade who aren't anymore and that's a product of the Sixers front office overplaying their hand.
lipoli390 wrote:Camden wrote:I wish I could say I'm surprised by anything that's unfolded over the past couple months, but the signs were there showing how this would end up. The longer Daryl Morey waited, the messier this situation was going to get, and the more risk would be involved in determining the return Philadelphia eventually gets back for Ben Simmons. Like I said in another thread, I don't even think Portland moves C.J. McCollum for Simmons at this point. There are various players who might have been available for trade who aren't anymore and that's a product of the Sixers front office overplaying their hand.
Spot on, Cam. Morey definitely overplayed his hand. But that's not surprising for Morey. In addition to overplaying his hand with Simmons, his arrogance over the years has alienated his colleagues around the League. Therefore, Morey has no good will he can draw on to help him salvage the situation. To the contrary, he has generated lot of ill will around the League. Apparently, that ill will was the reason the Harden deal with Philly fell through last year.
I'd like to see the Wolves get Simmons if the price isn't too steep. But regardless of where Simmons ends up, I'm enjoying the spectacle of Morey falling on his face.
monsterpile wrote:lipoli390 wrote:Camden wrote:I wish I could say I'm surprised by anything that's unfolded over the past couple months, but the signs were there showing how this would end up. The longer Daryl Morey waited, the messier this situation was going to get, and the more risk would be involved in determining the return Philadelphia eventually gets back for Ben Simmons. Like I said in another thread, I don't even think Portland moves C.J. McCollum for Simmons at this point. There are various players who might have been available for trade who aren't anymore and that's a product of the Sixers front office overplaying their hand.
Spot on, Cam. Morey definitely overplayed his hand. But that's not surprising for Morey. In addition to overplaying his hand with Simmons, his arrogance over the years has alienated his colleagues around the League. Therefore, Morey has no good will he can draw on to help him salvage the situation. To the contrary, he has generated lot of ill will around the League. Apparently, that ill will was the reason the Harden deal with Philly fell through last year.
I'd like to see the Wolves get Simmons if the price isn't too steep. But regardless of where Simmons ends up, I'm enjoying the spectacle of Morey falling on his face.
I'll defend Morey a bit here. Do we actually know why he left Houston? Without more info I don't know if I would lay the blame on Morey for the Simmons trade not going through. Maybe we are seeing why Houston decided to me on from him. Or maybe Morey and owner didn't see eye to eye on the direction of the team. Morey's departure was announced in the middle of October. A few weeks later Harden demanded a trade which was finally granted in January and that was a bit of a shit show all around. Trading for Dipo was a head scratcher. Not everything has gone wrong in Houston the last few months but there are some things to wonder about. I'm not saying Morey had nothing to do with it but I'm not sure what all went on there.
Are there red flags in terms of Morey and how he is perceived around the league? Yep. I also think that if you are pulling the "I'm not trading Ben Simmons for anything less than basically a future HOF player and other assets" type of BS then it rubs people the wrong way as we saw that play out with Thibs also. The league isn't stupid (overall) and they likely had lots of intel about the situation...Rich Paul likely made sure people knew what was going on. Morey acted like it was different or everyone else was beneath him. I can tell you from reading this board nobody likes when that happens whether it's on purpose or not.
Simmons is still a nice player and someone is still going to give up something reasonably valuable at some point but Morey would have been better off acting more quickly. I don't blame him for waiting longer than maybe it seemed reasonable to see if there was a shot at Beal and Dame. At some point it seemed that chance was not happening and it was time to pivot. His pivot was digging in harder and it's not going to end all that well. I do think his reputation is now going to be tarnished because of how he played this situation and IMO it should be.
Also I agree with Cam that we could see this type of thing coming. It's not exactly a huge surprise.
thedoper wrote:I think Morey rightly knows the asset doesnt change. As long as Simmons is healthy someone will eventually pony up for him. Im sure other GMs find him annoying, but I find car salesmen annoying too, unfortunately they usually stand between me and the asset I want. Simmons has yet to go full nuclear (a la Butler) so for now Morey is fine to hold out for a better deal. I think he will end up with something decent.