D-Mac wrote:FNG wrote:This morning's Strib names Jake Layman as the likely starter at PF, and Saunders' lineups in preseason support this. Can someone help me get comfortable with Layman starting over Juancho, because it just doesn't make sense to me. Here are reasons why I prefer Juancho.
1) Layman was considered a SF coming out of college, and to the best of my knowledge, isn't much bigger now. His 6'8" height is adequate for a PF, but his 6'9" wingspan and 209 pounds make him quite undersized. Juancho is a little taller and heavier, and his 7'0" wingspan is much better than Jake's.
2) Juancho is a far superior rebounder- 7.6 per 36 compared to Jake's 5, and 8.9 with the Wolves last year compared to Jake's 4.1. I have seen no evidence that Layman can be anywhere close to an average NBA PF rebounder.
3) Juancho is a far superior 3-point shooter- 36% for his career (42% with the Wolves) compared to Jake's career average of 31% (33% with the Wolves).
4) I can find no statistical evidence to differentiate the two defensively, but I give the nod to Juancho due to his superior length.
I'm not nearly as much of a Ryan Saunders detractor as others here, but I'm baffled as to why he would start an undersized Layman at PF when we have a clearly superior alternative. Can someone please sell me on why Layman should start ahead of Juancho, and please show your work.
This is a joke right? Obviously layman isn't a 4, but in this 1-3-1 system, layman is 10 times better than hgomez. Hgomez is slow and just flat out bad.
Nope, no joke man. I did hear a couple good ones this week though.
Did you hear the one about the guy who thought a 209 lb guy who played SF in college and mostly in the pros could defend NBA PFs, who average 232 lbs?
Or this one. Did you hear the one about the guy who thought a 6'8" guy with an alligator-like 6'9" wingspan could defend NBA PF's who average over 7 feet in wingspan, just because he is quick?
Or how 'bout this one. Did you hear the one about the guy who thought an undersized PF with a career 31% 3-point average is a better choice to start than a bigger PF with a career average of 36% (and 42% with the Wolves) in a system that favors the 3-point shot, just because the undersized guy is the second coming of Usain Bolt?
Of perhaps my favorite. Did you hear about the guy who preferred the "PF" who has averaged 5 rebounds per 36- that's right FIVE (5)- to the better shooting option who has averaged 7.6?
Sorry man. I hear your argument that Juancho is "slow and just flat out bad" and doesn't fit the system, but I don't find it very well thought out or supported by data. I've shown how Juancho is much more of an actual PF in size, rebounds 50% better, and hits his threes at a much better percentage. And your rebuttal is that the player you don't prefer is "just flat out bad". This is a joke, right?
Look, I don't think his team is set at PF at all, and I would have preferred to see RHJ on Wednesday night. But I need a lot more valid data than you're providing before I join you and Ryan on the "Layman for starting PF" train.