monsterpile wrote:longstrangetrip wrote:It's interesting to revisit where our heads were last April in the days leading up to the finale against Denver. I was certain we were going to beat Denver that night (we were a much better team than Denver last year) and thought that was the worst possible outcome if it meant getting the 8th seed. Lip might have been the only other poster here who understood the ramifications of a Wolves win, but I don't blame him for cheering for the Wolves that night...I would have been too if I had been in the arena like him rather than watching on TV.
But not being with the crowd allowed me to be more objective, and after I realized that the other games were going the wrong way and a win meant 8th seed, I was actively cheering against the Wolves the rest of the game. Yeah it felt weird, but as I explained here, I'm in for the long haul and a Wolves loss seemed to be better for the franchise. Of course being a wolves fan means always being let down, and this time they let me down with a win.
My position hasn't changed...that win was not good for the Wolves long-term. Let's review the implications:
1) Sure, we got the playoffs, but a playoff series that we all knew would be ill-fated. I predicted we would win one game on a night where Houston just didn't care, and that's what happened. Playoff tickets are very expensive, and it just wasn't worth it.
2) Glen has as much as said it, and it's common knowledge among those in the know...Thibs would have been fired immediately after losing that Denver game. Come on guys...do you really think playing 5 playoff games was worth suffering through another half year (and agonizing off-season) of Thibodeau? I don't.
3) In addition to the 20th pick, missing the playoffs would have allowed us to keep our 14th pick that we instead had to give up to Atlanta. Look at the guys who were available at 14, and ask yourself if you would like to have one of them on our roster.
So the choice was this...beat Denver and get a playoff series in which we were destined to be destroyed, or lose to Denver and get a new coach who hopefully would have handled the Butler situation better (how could he not have?) and started the 2018-9 season better than Thibs did, plus getting an additional lottery pick. We made the playoffs and are now on the outside looking in...Denver missed the playoffs and, in addition to adding a PF who could be a star in the future (although hurt this season) is currently sitting in first place in the West.
Are you guys still happy we won that Denver game? If you could go back in time, would you be cheering for a different result?
Lots of ifs in your scenario. Im not knocking your position but for me I'm still cheering for the Wolves to win both last year and this year. Good franchises don't have to worry so much about picking a few spots higher because they missed the playoffs. That's my expectation we become a good franchise. Is it unrealistic? Maybe for the Wolves but it's what should happen. Derrick Rose likely doesn't come back in your scenario either and he has been a positive this year and COULD be one for the next couple years. Only time will tell. It's been a fun ride watching the guy play this year for the most part.
I don't know if there are many ifs in my scenario. We clearly would have had the 14th pick if we had lost that game to Denver, so that's not an if. The only "if" I see is whether Glen would have fired Thibs (and likely Laydon), but that is almost a certainty. Glen has as much as said it, and almost every reporter in town has said it. If Thibs was fired, we don't know what would have happened but here are some "ifs".
1) Rather than appointing an interim coach which is almost a necessity mid-season, we would have had the luxury of hiring a full time coach and GM in the offseason.
2) Assuming that coach would have been hired before the draft, somebody other than Thibs and Laydon would have been in charge of picking at 14 and 20. We don't know if that person would have been better or worse than Thibs' and Laydon, but I think we can venture a guess.
3) The new coach would not have been as tied to Butler, and wouldn't have let the situation go unresolved until training camp. The team would have entered training camp and the start of the season with a trade completed and a much better attitude than the one we exhibited last fall. The stench of preseason is still in the air months later.
I admit these three things are "ifs" but I think most of us would agree they are all likely...nobody could have handled the Butler situation worse than Thibs and Laydon. Maybe Rose would have left, as you suggest. But also maybe not...he wasn't exactly a hot commodity. And as others have pointed out, we have a better record this year in games he has sat out.