lipoli390 wrote:Monster -- What are some of the salary projections you're hearing for some free agents the Wolves might be interested in? What was the Rubio/Jazz deal they were suggesting?
Lip this was over 4 hours of time and I listened to most of it 1.5 speed but its still alot to take in. The more I think about some of the contracts some may not make sense and they did agree that George Hill was likely going to get more than the money they ended up sending him to the Spurs for but the PG market dried up quickly.
The Rubio trade is probably too good to be true they had Rubio and Aldrich going to the Jazz for basically cap space. That makes sense...until I think about what some other PGs got.
THey had Lowrey getting paid by Houston but then they had him going back to the Raps becasue the 2nd day they knew about the deal today so they adjusted that.
Jrue went to the Wolves for over 100 million for 4 years.
Teague got like 16.5 million per year from someone.
So the Jazz will end up paying Aldrich and Rubio to get him over signing Teague for a little more money? I don't see that making a whole lot of sense although that gives them flexibility if one of their younger PGS becomes good. Rubio to the Jazz himself? Sure I get that I don't think Aldrich would be able to be fit in there.
They had J Green going back to the Grizz for like 4 years 40 million but they had him doing that before any other teams were negotiating with him. They had the 6ers offering Ingles 3 years 45 million which I thought was high. Your guy Alex Len...nobody could figure out what his value was. Bogdonivic the RFA for the wizards got like 8 million per. I think they maybe had Bazz sign for 7 or 8 million on a 1 year deal with the Kings.
They had the Wolves signing Patterson for 12 million per year for 2 years I think with an option for a 3rd year. the weird thing about that was they had Ibake go for 3 years 48 million. I'd be in on Ibake for a couple million more per year than Patterson.
Some guys like Tucker Sefelosha Korver were getting deals based on team exceptions basically. So yeah nobody was breaking the bank but part of that was the consideration they could play for over 2 million on a vet min contract from a contender.
So here is the general takeaway. They admitted that some teams might spend more than what they predicted through this which could mean a couple teams who had some decent cap space left could actually use that. I think the numbers they were giving out for some of these players were low numbers and things still ended up getting dicey for guys that weren't legit starter level guys. Derrick Rose got like 8 million from the Clippers or something on a 1 year deal. There really does seem less money available with teams spending last year, the cap dropping a couple million so less to spend AND some teams that couple million more against the lux tax it really makes a difference. there will still be some dumb contracts handed out like a near max for Millsap they had him go to Denver. regardless of how you spread things out there seems to be a real chance of solid players having to settle for 3-10 million in salary that you may have expected to get alot more. A guy like Tyreke Evans could be a pretty cheap signing.
So lets say this stuff is reasonably represenative of what could happen this offseason going forward. What does that mean for the Wolves?
Rubio's contract will probably still be a nice deal espcially since its only for 2 years which will appeal to some teams that may feel they would ahve to give some sort fo 3 year deal to get another guy. However its possible you can get a Teague or Collison or something for less or somewhere in that range. So tht could hurt Rubio's value a bit but it might also make it more palatable to move him and sign a guy. It might also mean they could get a better backup than you would expect for not a ton of money.
The Wolves could very easily get a few legit rotation players that are a decent step above Rush or Casspi and get at least a couple fringe starters like a Patterson or Sefelosha etc. FWIW Wolfson mentioned today Dunleavy as a legit inexpensive target and seemed to think there was mutual interest.
The Wolves have lots of options of what they want to do. I think they could check in quickly and see if any of the rumored PGs are interested in coming to the Wolves for value contract numbers. My guess is...they won't. The next thing they may do is got for some somewhat aggressive 3 year deals of decent money to guys that realize they could get left out in the cold quickly if they don't sign a deal now. Patrick patterson might be one of those guys or Ilyasova. basically guys that probably dont have that pull to get chased buy contenders like a PJ Tucker but decent players that are worth 7 million or something like that. They could also offer some younger players that maybe have some promise but looking through the list there are not many of them and I'm not sure how much you would even be wiling to offer a guy like McLemore or Burke etc. It seems very possible the Wolves could end up keeping Bazz on a decent deal if they don't find other players to take their money. If someone offers him decent money that could take that money off the market and the Wolves could be in a better situation to sign another player because someone used their cap space. I think they had Waiters getting something around 14 million a year from Dallas and at this point Waiters likely does have much more value than Bazz because he can shoot handle the ball and make plays etc.
its going to be interesting to see how it plays out. It may be tempting to say they Wolves should just go for bargain contracts and keep Rubio. If the Wolves could convince Lowry to take something close to 25 million to come here...(doubtful but not completely nuts) that would be a bargain contract also. I've written alot but I had a lot of material to expound on do I blame Dunc'd On podcast for that. LOL Its a really good podcast those guys know a ton of stuff. They have strong positions but I also think they have enough times they don't take themselves too seriously as well.