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Re: 8th seed is a Failure

Posted: Tue Apr 10, 2018 5:28 pm
by khans2k5 [enjin:6608728]
sjm34 wrote:
monsterpile wrote:
sjm34 wrote:
longstrangetrip wrote:
To paraphrase the late Denny Green, Jamal Crawford was what we thought he was. 17 seasons in the NBA were a large enough sample size to conclude that he was a terrible defender. I can't decide if I want to blame the POBO for signing him when better defensive options were available, or the coach for playing him almost 21 MPG.


Nice part is that you don't have to decide.

I think the most important consideration is that Thibs is inflexible, and maybe just not smart enough for today's NBA. Any GM in the wolves org should be cognizant of the fact this team needs to build through the draft. We just can't get players here at a competitive price in FA. Thibs has blown our salary cap to the point our team will likely get worse rather than better over the next couple of seasons.

To make matters worse, he seems allergic to change of any of his systems. Not having an offensive system was OK when you had RIcky to run things, but he traded him away for a better shooter who scores 2 more points per game, and made us weaker defensively as well.


You mention that this team needs to build through the draft and Thibs/Layden seem to have considered that as well. They got a draft pick for Rubio and didn't give up that pick for a chance to get a solid rotation player. People are really down on Patton and there is some evidence to support that but it's not like he is a lost cause at 20 years old (turns 21 in June) who was supposed to be raw and then had a foot injury. On one hand you have Cam that really thinks Patton has a chance to be good. On the other Q is really down on him. I'm not saying I only respect these 2 poster's takes but I think they are people the last few years have had takes on various players I resonated with (Cam seems to have an eye for talent and Q cuts through the BS of "talent" to what can the guy actually do) and they are on opposite sides. What if Patton had never gotten hurt? What if he is healthy next season and shows an intruiging skillset? You are absolutely right this team needs to build from the draft and build from finding some lower cost young talent also. Thins and Layden have done that the last 2 years but with mixed results. This offseason will be interesting. People tend to forget the backup PG on this team is 21 years old.


It kind of defeats the purpose of building through the draft when you swap out PG's (of similar talent) and add 5 mil to the payroll. THibs has shown no ability to judge talent, even with several years of data to evaluate. G and Bazz are both below average players and he offered both 4 year deals in double digits, and did both a year early. Thank god Bazz turned his down, or this team would be even further up the creek. Whether Patton shows the skillset we want, he was a still a pick that really doesn't fit our needs.


In what world does trading Ricky for a first round pick defeat the purpose of building through the draft? Getting a draft pick for a piece that doesn't fit what you are trying to do is exactly how you build through the draft. I would also argue given the garbage depth we have in the front court that Patton does fit a need. A cheap late first round pick to try to offset G's albatross is what you need to do to recover from a bad deal like that. I would say Thibs and Layden are firmly trying to build support pieces using draft assets. Whether they pan out or not is a different argument, but getting a wing in this draft would mean Tyus, that wing and Patton would all hopefully be main bench pieces moving forward around Jimmy, Towns and Wiggins. That's 6 drafted players out of your core 8-9 that Thibs plays.

Re: 8th seed is a Failure

Posted: Tue Apr 10, 2018 5:34 pm
by Coolbreeze44
thedoper wrote:
CoolBreeze44 wrote:
thedoper wrote:
CoolBreeze44 wrote:Here's another reason this season is a failure. We spent considerable time in 3rd or 4th place. To end up 8th or even out of the playoffs is a collapse if nothing else. We blew too many winnable games and should not be in this position. And before you say, "but Jimmy got hurt", remember he gets hurt every year. That's part of the deal with him.


Every team has ups and downs in their narrative for a season. Jumping from there were challenging aspects to this season to it was a failure is too big of a jump. It's just too black and white, 5 more wins and it was a success? I think Thibs just rubs a lot of people (fans included) the wrong way. I keep going back to the 16 win improvement, and can't find a way to translate that into failure. Was it pretty? Hell no. Could we have won more? Probably, but that makes me more excited than dissappinted.

To answer your question, Yes, 5 more wins and it was a major success.


I guess I'm not so black and white. Failure and success seem too close together from that model for my taste.

Doper, a 5 win difference means we would be 51-30 and easily in 3rd place in the conference. It's also 10 more games over .500 than we are today. It's really not that close.

Re: 8th seed is a Failure

Posted: Tue Apr 10, 2018 5:35 pm
by Wolvesfan21
I agree with Cool that 5 more wins and I'd call it a success.

Story broke that Butler called out the team again last night calling them soft. Low effort.

You bring it 82 games and you probably get 5 more wins, but the way I see it certain players don't bring it every night. Like I mentioned against the bad teams. We saw how they started against the G league team last night, going down 10 until turning it up finally.

You're playing with fire when you take teams easy, then you end up losing to teams like Phoenix without Booker at home.

Yes I know every team has a coupe bad losses, but the Wolves had a lot of them. Their record was probably no better against the worst teams as the middle playoff teams. We know they had winning records against the division. They just had to get another couple wins against a Phoenix and Memphis or Chicago.

Re: 8th seed is a Failure

Posted: Tue Apr 10, 2018 5:44 pm
by longstrangetrip [enjin:6600564]
I'm neutral on the doper/cool debate on whether 5 more wins would have made this year a success in my opinion. Yes, 5 more would have clearly put us in the 3rd seed, and that would have made me happier than I am now. But for me it's less about the number of wins, and more about the style of play that puts me in the failure column. I simply found them unwatchable a lot of this year. The antiquated offense and defense, the continuing late-game collapses due to tired starters playing too many minutes, the annoying bellowing on the sidelines, and the inability of the coach to get most of the team to play as hard as Butler, Taj, KAT and maybe Tyus. All of these factors are maddening and made this a dissatisfying season for me.

I would have loved to see what a young guy like Tony Bennett or Eric Musselman could have done with this roster...I'm thinking 55 wins.

Re: 8th seed is a Failure

Posted: Tue Apr 10, 2018 5:50 pm
by Monster
khans2k5 wrote:
sjm34 wrote:
monsterpile wrote:
sjm34 wrote:
longstrangetrip wrote:
To paraphrase the late Denny Green, Jamal Crawford was what we thought he was. 17 seasons in the NBA were a large enough sample size to conclude that he was a terrible defender. I can't decide if I want to blame the POBO for signing him when better defensive options were available, or the coach for playing him almost 21 MPG.


Nice part is that you don't have to decide.

I think the most important consideration is that Thibs is inflexible, and maybe just not smart enough for today's NBA. Any GM in the wolves org should be cognizant of the fact this team needs to build through the draft. We just can't get players here at a competitive price in FA. Thibs has blown our salary cap to the point our team will likely get worse rather than better over the next couple of seasons.

To make matters worse, he seems allergic to change of any of his systems. Not having an offensive system was OK when you had RIcky to run things, but he traded him away for a better shooter who scores 2 more points per game, and made us weaker defensively as well.


You mention that this team needs to build through the draft and Thibs/Layden seem to have considered that as well. They got a draft pick for Rubio and didn't give up that pick for a chance to get a solid rotation player. People are really down on Patton and there is some evidence to support that but it's not like he is a lost cause at 20 years old (turns 21 in June) who was supposed to be raw and then had a foot injury. On one hand you have Cam that really thinks Patton has a chance to be good. On the other Q is really down on him. I'm not saying I only respect these 2 poster's takes but I think they are people the last few years have had takes on various players I resonated with (Cam seems to have an eye for talent and Q cuts through the BS of "talent" to what can the guy actually do) and they are on opposite sides. What if Patton had never gotten hurt? What if he is healthy next season and shows an intruiging skillset? You are absolutely right this team needs to build from the draft and build from finding some lower cost young talent also. Thins and Layden have done that the last 2 years but with mixed results. This offseason will be interesting. People tend to forget the backup PG on this team is 21 years old.


It kind of defeats the purpose of building through the draft when you swap out PG's (of similar talent) and add 5 mil to the payroll. THibs has shown no ability to judge talent, even with several years of data to evaluate. G and Bazz are both below average players and he offered both 4 year deals in double digits, and did both a year early. Thank god Bazz turned his down, or this team would be even further up the creek. Whether Patton shows the skillset we want, he was a still a pick that really doesn't fit our needs.


In what world does trading Ricky for a first round pick defeat the purpose of building through the draft? Getting a draft pick for a piece that doesn't fit what you are trying to do is exactly how you build through the draft. I would also argue given the garbage depth we have in the front court that Patton does fit a need. A cheap late first round pick to try to offset G's albatross is what you need to do to recover from a bad deal like that. I would say Thibs and Layden are firmly trying to build support pieces using draft assets. Whether they pan out or not is a different argument, but getting a wing in this draft would mean Tyus, that wing and Patton would all hopefully be main bench pieces moving forward around Jimmy, Towns and Wiggins. That's 6 drafted players out of your core 8-9 that Thibs plays.


Dallas who is typically considered a smart organization offered Noel somewhere between 15-17 million last summer and now that money looks hilariously ridiculous and Noel looks like an absolute fool for tuning that down. He looked foolish at the time but looks really dumb now when bigs will not get paid much. The point is a number of team the last 2 years offered contracts that could or have hampered their teams. I bet Utah is glad George Hill turned down the contract they offered him a few months ago that he stupidly turned down. So yeah Thibs and Layden offered guys more than they should have gotten in hindsight but a lot of teams did the same thing. Meanwhile they didn't sign other guys like Dieng that ended up being nearly useless on big contracts and last summer in the offseason they went with shorter term contracts which allows some ability to be somewhat flexible going forward. I think it's been a mixed bag so far.

To me one encouraging aspect of this organization is that innthe first year of having a G-league squad they ended up With a 24-26 season after a rough start and they also ended up with Amile Jefferson who led the league with double doubles and was a terrific performer all around. Could this be a sign they can develop the back end of a roster? We can hope so. It's a key and even bigger than ever before.

Re: 8th seed is a Failure

Posted: Tue Apr 10, 2018 6:42 pm
by BizarroJerry [enjin:6592520]
Well well. We come down to the last game. No national coverage? That sucks. I'm hoping we make it. Another mid round draft pick isn't gonna do anything for me, nor is a Houston ass whooping. But I'll choose the latter. Maybe Harden gets hurt.

Re: 8th seed is a Failure

Posted: Tue Apr 10, 2018 7:33 pm
by mjs34
khans2k5 wrote:
sjm34 wrote:

It kind of defeats the purpose of building through the draft when you swap out PG's (of similar talent) and add 5 mil to the payroll. THibs has shown no ability to judge talent, even with several years of data to evaluate. G and Bazz are both below average players and he offered both 4 year deals in double digits, and did both a year early. Thank god Bazz turned his down, or this team would be even further up the creek. Whether Patton shows the skillset we want, he was a still a pick that really doesn't fit our needs.


In what world does trading Ricky for a first round pick defeat the purpose of building through the draft? Getting a draft pick for a piece that doesn't fit what you are trying to do is exactly how you build through the draft. I would also argue given the garbage depth we have in the front court that Patton does fit a need. A cheap late first round pick to try to offset G's albatross is what you need to do to recover from a bad deal like that. I would say Thibs and Layden are firmly trying to build support pieces using draft assets. Whether they pan out or not is a different argument, but getting a wing in this draft would mean Tyus, that wing and Patton would all hopefully be main bench pieces moving forward around Jimmy, Towns and Wiggins. That's 6 drafted players out of your core 8-9 that Thibs plays.


Doling out the extra 5 mil took care of that. You are now paying out 7 mil for that mid round draft pick. Patton is too soft of a player, and we needed a defensive minded player next to Towns with Gibson set to expire in one more season.

How are you building through the draft if you are using your first round picks to unload the "albatross" contract that you signed the following season? We have no idea of who we might be getting in this draft, or how good he might be. We might be drafting in the low to mid twenties. Patton has set foot on the court this last season, so I am not penciling him in as main bench guy yet.

Our offense ran just fine under Ricky, so I don't understand dumping him for a more expensive, and worse defending guard. Ricky liked it here which also something to consider.

Monster, just because other teams made bad deals as well, doesn't excuse Thibs from doing it. The other fact you are overlooking is that Thibs offered those deals a year earlier than necessary.

Re: 8th seed is a Failure

Posted: Tue Apr 10, 2018 8:16 pm
by khans2k5 [enjin:6608728]
sjm34 wrote:
khans2k5 wrote:
sjm34 wrote:

It kind of defeats the purpose of building through the draft when you swap out PG's (of similar talent) and add 5 mil to the payroll. THibs has shown no ability to judge talent, even with several years of data to evaluate. G and Bazz are both below average players and he offered both 4 year deals in double digits, and did both a year early. Thank god Bazz turned his down, or this team would be even further up the creek. Whether Patton shows the skillset we want, he was a still a pick that really doesn't fit our needs.


In what world does trading Ricky for a first round pick defeat the purpose of building through the draft? Getting a draft pick for a piece that doesn't fit what you are trying to do is exactly how you build through the draft. I would also argue given the garbage depth we have in the front court that Patton does fit a need. A cheap late first round pick to try to offset G's albatross is what you need to do to recover from a bad deal like that. I would say Thibs and Layden are firmly trying to build support pieces using draft assets. Whether they pan out or not is a different argument, but getting a wing in this draft would mean Tyus, that wing and Patton would all hopefully be main bench pieces moving forward around Jimmy, Towns and Wiggins. That's 6 drafted players out of your core 8-9 that Thibs plays.


Doling out the extra 5 mil took care of that. You are now paying out 7 mil for that mid round draft pick. Patton is too soft of a player, and we needed a defensive minded player next to Towns with Gibson set to expire in one more season.

How are you building through the draft if you are using your first round picks to unload the "albatross" contract that you signed the following season? We have no idea of who we might be getting in this draft, or how good he might be. We might be drafting in the low to mid twenties. Patton has set foot on the court this last season, so I am not penciling him in as main bench guy yet.

Our offense ran just fine under Ricky, so I don't understand dumping him for a more expensive, and worse defending guard. Ricky liked it here which also something to consider.

Monster, just because other teams made bad deals as well, doesn't excuse Thibs from doing it. The other fact you are overlooking is that Thibs offered those deals a year earlier than necessary.


First, AP guy has tweeted that Ricky and Thibs didn't get along. Saying he liked it here is not accurate based on the information we had when Ricky was dealt. He may have been fine with his teammates, but he and Thibs never worked. Second, holding contracts that never actually went through against someone is dumb. It didn't happen. Move on. Third, who knows what Patton will be able to do. You guys are just declaring him a bust without even giving him one offseason or even a real game to play in the NBA. He's a mobile big. None of our other bigs outside of Towns can say that so he potentially brings useful skills to our team as it exists. We shouldn't be trying to get slower with big plodding defenders next to Towns. We should be pushing the pace with our mobility.

Teague has been really solid for us this year. He's statistically better than Ricky in every offensive category except FT% and his steals are basically the same. You guys are vastly overrating Ricky's defensive impact. He consistently left our bigs out to dry by not being able to fight around screens effectively. It's taken the best big in the game to watch his back to let him gamble without hurting his team like he did us. Towns will never be Gobert. 1

If you are telling me to pick between Ricky and 5 million in cap or Teague and a first round pick I'm taking option 2. You have to take that chance when you know you are going to run into money issues with 3 max guys on the team. If you want to talk about overlooking something, how about the part where Ricky's up for a new deal next summer. You know the summer where Towns extension would kick in and Jimmy needs to be paid as well. Frankly Ricky probably would have be let go at that point because he'd want something in the 20 million range and Tyus will be much cheaper on his extension and then you have nothing to show for it.

Re: 8th seed is a Failure

Posted: Tue Apr 10, 2018 8:16 pm
by Lipoli390
CoolBreeze44 wrote:The Wolves will be favored against Denver. The season is a failure regardless of what happens in that game. Butler did what history says he would do - play great but miss an important chunk of the season. Yes, I'm going to say it, Wiggins had a terrible year given his talent. And Towns anchored one of the worst defenses in the league - again. At one time we had all the assets to build a true contender. Now they're used up and we are stuck in no mans land in the NBA. Good enough to miss out on high draft picks, and bad enough to never contend. Failure.


Cool -- You nailed it! I can't add or subtract from your post. It's right on!

Re: 8th seed is a Failure

Posted: Tue Apr 10, 2018 8:26 pm
by Lipoli390
longstrangetrip wrote:
kekgeek1 wrote:
WolvesFan21 wrote:I think the defensive atrociousness has to fall on Thibs at some point. We have players who can or should be able to play defense. Butler and Taj have both been good to great in the past. Wiggins and Towns have the physical ability to play defense. Then you have to also realize Thibs is the one who brought the players in/extended.

We can't change the players without taking a step back. Wiggins is going to be overpaid for what he has produced this season. KAT is a baller and exceptional talent on offense, obviously you have to build around him. But his defense has been lagging behind. Butler can and has played great defense so he's not "the problem."

You can't have a bottom 5 defense with payers who should perform better without having some kind of problem.

I expected the defense to be better. I think we all did.


When Andrew Wiggins is on the without Jamal Crawford what is 68% of possessions the wolves have a defensive rating of 106.0 what would put us at 15 in the NBA in defensive rating. When Jamal Crawford is with Andrew Wiggins what is 32% of the possessions the defensive rating balloons to 123.5 pts per 100 possessions what would be the worst team in the NBA by 13 pts per 100 possessions.

When KAT is on the court without Jamal Crawford what is 72% of possession the wolves have a def rating of 106.9 what would be 16th in the NBA. But when Jamal plays with KAT 28% of possessions the Wolves defense once again balloons to 117.1 once again would be the worst team in the NBA by 7 pts per possession.

When KAT and Wiggins are together in any lineup that does not have Crawford in it we have a def rating of 106.5 what would be the 15th rated team in the NBA but when you add Crawford into lineups that include KAT and Wiggins. The Wolves defensive sky rockets once again to 121.7. Almost 12 pts worse than the worst NBA team in the League and 15 pts worse in any other lineup those to play together without Crawford.

I think we all agree that our best two defenders are Taj and Jimmy Butler. The wolves Defensive rating when those 2 are on the court minus Jamal we have a def rating of 105.0 what would be the 11th best defense in the NBA. Now if we add crawford to those two the wolves defense is 112.9 once again the worst team in the NBA.

I know it is hard to blame one guy on the defensive struggles. But it doesn't matter the lineup we are a middle of the road defense when Crawford is not on the court but we are the worst team in the NBA in any lineup Crawford is on the court.

Now Towns and Wiggins have a ways to go defensively and they are not perfect but they are an average NBA defense in any other lineup that dosen't involve Crawford. Now if you want to blame Thibs for not finding another wing fine. But a huge part of the terrible defense goes on the shoulders of one player and that is Crawford


To paraphrase the late Denny Green, Jamal Crawford was what we thought he was. 17 seasons in the NBA were a large enough sample size to conclude that he was a terrible defender. I can't decide if I want to blame the POBO for signing him when better defensive options were available, or the coach for playing him almost 21 MPG.


Exactly! Then there's Jeff Teague. I actually like him and he's grown on me a bit. But he's not a good defender and is a low-volume 35.6 % three-point shooter. Signing his top 3-year $19 million year contract given this team's need for defense and three-point shooting belongs in the PBO mistake column.