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Re: ***OFFICIAL 2025-26 WINS PREDICTION THREAD + PLAYOFFS PREDICTION***

Posted: Thu Oct 09, 2025 10:32 am
by FNG
Sundog wrote: Thu Oct 09, 2025 10:09 am ESPN is predicting the Wolves will finish 8th with 43.7 wins…

1.Oklahoma City Thunder — 59.2
2.Golden State Warriors — 56.1
3.Denver Nuggets — 52.2
4.LA Clippers — 49.7
5.Houston Rockets — 46.9
6.Los Angeles Lakers — 45.8
7.Memphis Grizzlies — 44.6
8.Minnesota Timberwolves — 43.7
9.Dallas Mavericks — 43.6
10.Sacramento Kings — 43.5
11.San Antonio Spurs — 40.1
12.Portland Trail Blazers — 35.8
13.Phoenix Suns — 34.7
14.New Orleans Pelicans — 32.6
15.Utah Jazz — 20.2
Wow, 7 games below the Vegas line! And only Abe has the "under" in our contest!

And just look at pathetic Utah! Vegas has them even worse at 18.5 wins. If we haven't put the "who won the Gobert trade" talk to bed already, another horrible season for the Jazz will certainly end the discussion. We're winning, they're losing, and we even seem to have more young talent than them despite the loss of picks. They have much better skiing though.

Re: ***OFFICIAL 2025-26 WINS PREDICTION THREAD + PLAYOFFS PREDICTION***

Posted: Thu Oct 09, 2025 6:39 pm
by Q-is-here
Sundog wrote: Thu Oct 09, 2025 10:09 am ESPN is predicting the Wolves will finish 8th with 43.7 wins…

1.Oklahoma City Thunder — 59.2
2.Golden State Warriors — 56.1
3.Denver Nuggets — 52.2
4.LA Clippers — 49.7
5.Houston Rockets — 46.9
6.Los Angeles Lakers — 45.8
7.Memphis Grizzlies — 44.6
8.Minnesota Timberwolves — 43.7
9.Dallas Mavericks — 43.6
10.Sacramento Kings — 43.5
11.San Antonio Spurs — 40.1
12.Portland Trail Blazers — 35.8
13.Phoenix Suns — 34.7
14.New Orleans Pelicans — 32.6
15.Utah Jazz — 20.2
I'm shocked they don't have the Lakers at the top winning all 82 games.

Re: ***OFFICIAL 2025-26 WINS PREDICTION THREAD + PLAYOFFS PREDICTION***

Posted: Fri Oct 10, 2025 8:00 am
by Q-is-here
Predictions updated to include ESPN. Abe no longer has the basement to himself!

61 - Leado01
60 - 60WinTim
57 - Lipoli390
56 - Wolvesfan21+NBA champs
55 - D-Loser25+NBA champs
54 - Phenom
53 - LongGame, KiwiMatt, kekgeek
52 - doper+Conference Semis; Q-is-here+Conference Finals
51 - FNG+Conference Finals
50 - TAFKASP; Monster+Conference Semis
48 - Sundog
47 - Coolbreeze44 + first round playoff exit after winning the play-in
44 - ESPN
43 - AbeVigodaLive

Re: ***OFFICIAL 2025-26 WINS PREDICTION THREAD + PLAYOFFS PREDICTION***

Posted: Mon Oct 13, 2025 4:28 pm
by FNG
Sundog wrote: Thu Oct 09, 2025 10:09 am ESPN is predicting the Wolves will finish 8th with 43.7 wins…

1.Oklahoma City Thunder — 59.2
2.Golden State Warriors — 56.1
3.Denver Nuggets — 52.2
4.LA Clippers — 49.7
5.Houston Rockets — 46.9
6.Los Angeles Lakers — 45.8
7.Memphis Grizzlies — 44.6
8.Minnesota Timberwolves — 43.7
9.Dallas Mavericks — 43.6
10.Sacramento Kings — 43.5
11.San Antonio Spurs — 40.1
12.Portland Trail Blazers — 35.8
13.Phoenix Suns — 34.7
14.New Orleans Pelicans — 32.6
15.Utah Jazz — 20.2
Sundog, Ben Beecken talked about this on his podcast last week...he was outraged. Kevin Pelton takes a very mathematical statistical approach to his projections. But he admits that the Wolves were his biggest miss last year...he forecast only 42.7 wins last year! Apparently his stat model doesn't work very well with respect to the Wolves.

Re: ***OFFICIAL 2025-26 WINS PREDICTION THREAD + PLAYOFFS PREDICTION***

Posted: Wed Oct 15, 2025 12:25 am
by WildWolf2813
51 wins, out in the semi finals because I think they run into OKC.


I'll explain my rationale later, but after thinking I'd say 48, 51 just feels right.

Re: ***OFFICIAL 2025-26 WINS PREDICTION THREAD + PLAYOFFS PREDICTION***

Posted: Wed Oct 15, 2025 3:51 am
by Porckchop
Ant makes the ascension into top 5 player status
Jaden channels his inner Pippen on a consistent basis
Goberts pts and Rebs both dip under 10 for the first time in a decade, but goes unnoticed because his impact remains the same.
Randle has made himself more comfortable in his new environment with a whole offseason to do so. He’s ready to them a 20,8 and 6 season
Naz may not see much change in avgs but I think he’s ready to contribute more big games and in games it was really needed for the win.
Donte makes 4 threes a games, ups his assists and brings defensive intensity that Jaden feeds off of.
Shannon plays well early earning more minutes by midseason, the last 30 games he avgs 12 per and the second units most consistent scorer.
Rob struggles to get minutes as his size makes him a liability on D.
The Wolves lead the league in margin of victory and earn the 1 seed with an NBA best 64-18 record

Re: ***OFFICIAL 2025-26 WINS PREDICTION THREAD + PLAYOFFS PREDICTION***

Posted: Wed Oct 15, 2025 8:26 am
by Wolvesfan21
FNG wrote: Mon Oct 13, 2025 4:28 pm
Sundog wrote: Thu Oct 09, 2025 10:09 am ESPN is predicting the Wolves will finish 8th with 43.7 wins…

1.Oklahoma City Thunder — 59.2
2.Golden State Warriors — 56.1
3.Denver Nuggets — 52.2
4.LA Clippers — 49.7
5.Houston Rockets — 46.9
6.Los Angeles Lakers — 45.8
7.Memphis Grizzlies — 44.6
8.Minnesota Timberwolves — 43.7
9.Dallas Mavericks — 43.6
10.Sacramento Kings — 43.5
11.San Antonio Spurs — 40.1
12.Portland Trail Blazers — 35.8
13.Phoenix Suns — 34.7
14.New Orleans Pelicans — 32.6
15.Utah Jazz — 20.2
Sundog, Ben Beecken talked about this on his podcast last week...he was outraged. Kevin Pelton takes a very mathematical statistical approach to his projections. But he admits that the Wolves were his biggest miss last year...he forecast only 42.7 wins last year! Apparently his stat model doesn't work very well with respect to the Wolves.
Problem with the stat model is you still have to have an opinion on new players/how players develop or decline/team chemistry/etc.... Like how do you plug in data for something you have never seen? It's all just a guess.

Re: ***OFFICIAL 2025-26 WINS PREDICTION THREAD + PLAYOFFS PREDICTION***

Posted: Wed Oct 15, 2025 8:55 am
by Q-is-here
WildWolf2813 wrote: Wed Oct 15, 2025 12:25 am 51 wins, out in the semi finals because I think they run into OKC.


I'll explain my rationale later, but after thinking I'd say 48, 51 just feels right.
That's about where I'm at.

Re: ***OFFICIAL 2025-26 WINS PREDICTION THREAD + PLAYOFFS PREDICTION***

Posted: Wed Oct 15, 2025 8:57 am
by Q-is-here
Porckchop wrote: Wed Oct 15, 2025 3:51 am Ant makes the ascension into top 5 player status
Jaden channels his inner Pippen on a consistent basis
Goberts pts and Rebs both dip under 10 for the first time in a decade, but goes unnoticed because his impact remains the same.
Randle has made himself more comfortable in his new environment with a whole offseason to do so. He’s ready to them a 20,8 and 6 season
Naz may not see much change in avgs but I think he’s ready to contribute more big games and in games it was really needed for the win.
Donte makes 4 threes a games, ups his assists and brings defensive intensity that Jaden feeds off of.
Shannon plays well early earning more minutes by midseason, the last 30 games he avgs 12 per and the second units most consistent scorer.
Rob struggles to get minutes as his size makes him a liability on D.
The Wolves lead the league in margin of victory and earn the 1 seed with an NBA best 64-18 record
Love it! Optimistic win total prediction and sub-predictions that tell the story behind it.

Re: ***OFFICIAL 2025-26 WINS PREDICTION THREAD + PLAYOFFS PREDICTION***

Posted: Wed Oct 15, 2025 8:58 am
by Q-is-here
Predictions updated. Only a few days left!

64 - Porkchop
61 - Leado01
60 - 60WinTim
57 - Lipoli390
56 - Wolvesfan21+NBA champs
55 - D-Loser25+NBA champs
54 - Phenom
53 - LongGame, KiwiMatt, kekgeek
52 - doper+Conference Semis; Q-is-here+Conference Finals
51 - FNG+Conference Finals, WildWolf + Conference Semis
50 - TAFKASP; Monster+Conference Semis
48 - Sundog
47 - Coolbreeze44 + first round playoff exit after winning the play-in
43 - AbeVigodaLive