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Re: ***OFFICIAL 2018-19 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Mon Oct 15, 2018 9:58 pm
by crazy-canuck [enjin:18955461]
43
Re: ***OFFICIAL 2018-19 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Mon Oct 15, 2018 10:03 pm
by kekgeek
I believe I have been statistically the best projector of the wolves success (or lack there of). So prepare for a successful playoff full season
Re: ***OFFICIAL 2018-19 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Mon Oct 15, 2018 10:53 pm
by Porckchop
32 wins , they'll get a third of them before Butler is finally traded early in the year.
Re: ***OFFICIAL 2018-19 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Mon Oct 15, 2018 11:15 pm
by ItsJustSoSab
41
Re: ***OFFICIAL 2018-19 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Tue Oct 16, 2018 7:33 am
by Q12543 [enjin:6621299]
Updated....
Cam* -
apollotsg - 27
Q12543 - 28
sjm34 - 30
PorkChop - 32
Khans, BizarroJerry - 34
AbeVigodaLive - 35
WolvesFan21, BigO, Kiwi - 39
Coolbreeze44 - 40
ItsJustSoSab - 41
crazy-canuck - 43
leado01 - 45
SameOldDrew - 46
Kekgeek1, BloopOracle - 47
petecorcoran - 48
thedoper - 49
TheSP - 50
60WinTim, LST - 51
RenkIn - 52
* Cam too afwaid to make a pwediction.
Re: ***OFFICIAL 2018-19 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Tue Oct 16, 2018 7:34 am
by Q12543 [enjin:6621299]
kekgeek1 wrote:I believe I have been statistically the best projector of the wolves success (or lack there of). So prepare for a successful playoff full season
47 wins may be on the fence again with the West....You've had a couple good years, but two seasons ago you were pretty far off (as was most everyone else).
Re: ***OFFICIAL 2018-19 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Tue Oct 16, 2018 10:16 am
by longstrangetrip [enjin:6600564]
Q12543 wrote:longstrangetrip wrote:khans2k5 wrote:Jimmy 82 games - 50
Jimmy 41 games - 34
This looks pretty accurate, but I'm going to break it down further (with apologies to Q...the Butler situation just provides way too much variability). I think Jimmy provided close to 18 wins last season, and I think he still is worth 14 wins this season. So:
If Butler is on the roster the entire season: 51
If Butler is on the roster closer to half the season: 44
If Butler is traded within the first month of the seaon: 37
There is a Thibs factor in play also, but I'm not going to muddy this up any further. This is Q's thread, but I might suggest another prediction thread once the Thibs and Butler situations get resolved.
Nice break down, but you gotta pick one for the WPT. Part of the factors that go into your prediction is trying to figure out when Butler gets traded. It's no different than guessing on injuries, progress of young guys, and other unknowables. Just like with Khansy, I will put you down for your low end estimate unless you tell me otherwise.
ESPN has an article on their front page predicting the range of victory totals for all teams...best case and worst case. Most have a wide range (even Golden State has a 15 win variance), so it's no surprise that the Wolves' best case is 53 wins and worst case is 36. Their logic is almost exactly what Khans and I laid out and not much of a surprise...this team can improve on last year if Butler plays the whole season, but likely collapses if he leaves. Q's poll this year seems to be more of a prediction of what happens with the Butler deal than our typical W/L poll. ESPN has them at 41.5, much closer to the low end of the range than the high...an indication that they think Butler is gone soon.
Re: ***OFFICIAL 2018-19 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Tue Oct 16, 2018 11:03 am
by tpoff217
I'm going with 33 this year
Re: ***OFFICIAL 2018-19 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Wed Oct 17, 2018 11:15 am
by Logo [enjin:17474297]
36
I don't think Butler or Thibs will last the season.
Re: ***OFFICIAL 2018-19 WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Wed Oct 17, 2018 11:23 am
by Monster
I'll go with a relatively pessimistic number but if things really go wrong...37 wins won't actually seem that bad.
37