monsterpile wrote:Lip question for you and anyone else on this board. Let's say you could trade all three 2nd rounders for say #29 would you do it?
Firstly, it depends on who's available at 29 (or whatever) and who might end up being available roughly 11 picks later at 40. For example, let's say E.J. Liddell unexpectedly slides on draft night and he's sitting there at 29 on the top of my board. I'd be more inclined to make the trade.
Secondly, there's the added benefit of locking that first-rounder into a rookie scale, four-year deal versus negotiating with a second-round pick and potentially paying slightly more for said talent. It's not necessarily a deal-breaker, but it's absolutely something to consider.
Lastly, I like using Kevin Pelton's draft pick value chart as a baseline for trades of this type. The 29th pick, for instance, has a value of 690. The 40th pick has a value of 480. The 48th pick has a value of 380. And the 50th pick has a value of 350. We'd be sending 1,210 for 690 in numerical value. Teams generally have to overpay to move up in the draft, but that might be giving up too much.
For example, in 2015 the Timberwolves traded 31, 36, and their second-round pick in 2019 (40) to the Cavaliers for the 24th overall pick-- Tyus Jones. Minnesota sent approximately 1,630 (future draft picks typically have lower value due to the uncertainty of draft slot) for 930.
I think I'd rather have two or three dart throws in the second round, but it ultimately depends on the player you'd be trading up for. This may not answer your question, but I hope it provides some insight.