Morey’s Ever-Shrinking Leverage
Posted: Mon Sep 27, 2021 7:25 pm
Cam posted what looked like a well-informed report of some offers the Sixers received for Simmons over 4 weeks ago. According to that report, the Kings offered Haliburton and Barnes + a future pick, the Raptors offered VanVleet and Anunoby + a protected pick, the Pacers offered Brogdon + something and the Wolves offered Beasley and a bunch of future picks. Or something like that; I'm too lazy to look back at the report. In any event, Morey rejected those offers and has, instead, been consistently asking for the moon, which has irritated other NBA front office execs and caused at least one GM to hang up the phone. Apparently, Morey was asking Portland for Lillard and the Wizards for Beal, but both teams made it clear neither star was available for Simmons. Morey also apparently offer Simmons to Toronto for Lowry, VanVleet, Anuoby and the 4th pick in this year's draft. Apparently, the Raptors front office gave that offer about one second of thought before not so politely telling Morey he needed a reality check. Again, all of this happened over 4 weeks ago. Now consider the following reports over the past four weeks, including some really recent ones:
NBA Central: "I talked to Rich Paul, and Rich Paul was the one who told me, 'We want out. We want out. And we'll go to whatever degree we have to go to in order to get out. We want to be anywhere but in Philadelphia.'" - @RealJayWilliams (Via ESPN | h/t Bleacher Report) pic.twitter.com/8TzNQQi1LB 2 days ago - via Twitter TheNBACentral
The core leaders on the 76ers -- such as Joel Embiid, Tobias Harris and Matisse Thybulle -- and most of the team were set to take a jet to see Simmons before being turned away, sources said. Multiple sources said Simmons didn't want his teammates, some of whom he considers friends, to make the Philadelphia-to-Los Angeles commute out of courtesy because he won't change his mind on wanting a trade. 2 days ago - via Shams Charania and The Athletic Staff @ The Athletic
According to a source with knowledge of their situation, the Kings spoke to the Sixers weeks ago and made it clear that both De'Aaron Fox and Tyrese Haliburton would not be included in a possible Simmons deal. That stance, the source said, has not and will not change and the internal expectation is that the core of their roster will remain the same heading into training camp later this month. 4 weeks ago - via Sam Amick @ The Athletic
Sam Amick: As I wrote here, though, the fact that the Kings are unwilling to include De'Aaron Fox and/or Tyrese Haliburton in a possible Simmons deal is, for now at least, a deal-breaker. Heck, they're even trying to hold onto Harrison Barnes, from what I'm told. 4 weeks ago - via Sam Amick, David Aldridge, Jon Krawczynski, Derek Bodner @ The Athletic
Prior to the NBA Draft, the 76ers had reportedly asked for OG Anunoby, Kyle Lowry, Fred VanVleet, and the 4th overall pick, according to Matt Moore of the Action Network. That deal was, of course, turned down by the Raptors and it's unclear what kind of package Toronto would be willing to part with for Simmons. The most obvious name in trade talks would be Pascal Siakam, however, Toronto has repeatedly made it clear both publicly and privately to Siakam that they have not been shopping the 27-year-old former all-star in trade negotiations. - USA Today
Marla Ridenour: #Cavs GM Koby Altman said he wants Collin Sexton here long term. Won't negotiate in public so didn't go too deep. Neither he nor Bickerstaff believes it will affect Sexton's performance 5 hours ago - via Twitter MRidenourABJ
Casey Holdahl: "We will never be receptive to moving Damian Lillard." -- Neil Olshey
Source: Twitter @CHold
There can be no doubt that Simmons will not show up and another game for the Sixers. And as he becomes increasingly public and emphatic about his intent to hold out, offers seemingly available at one time 4 or more weeks ago, seem to be evaporating as the season approaches. The Kings have repeatedly said that neither Fox nor Haliburton is on the table for Simmons. Now the latest report out of Cleveland indicates that Kobe Altman wants to keep Sexton long term. Meanwhile, Olshey has recently reiterated that Lillard is in Portland to stay - making it clear that Morey is taking a huge gamble if he thinks he can wait and make a run at Lillard later in the season or next off-season. Is Indiana still willing to part with Brogdon and, if so, will Morey's ego allow him to take the offer and run with it?
It would appear that the Wolves remain the most aggressive suitor for Simmons. My caution to Gupta is to avoid bidding against himself because it's crystal clear that Morey has absolutely no leverage and teams around the League, while admittedly posturing to some extent, are obviously not drooling over the prospect of adding Ben Simmons. They all see the flaws in his game along with apparently failure to work on those flaws or accept coaching. There are certainly at last a few teams, including the Wolves, who would like to get Simmons and they're willing to give up value to get him. But the value they're willing to give up reflects Morey's lack of leverage resulting from his grossly overplayed hand.
I think Indiana is still willing to swap Brogdon. I also believe that the Kings migh eventually make Haliburton or Hield available, but not both. I think the Cavs might make Sexton available in spite of the recent comment from their PBO. I definitely think the Raptors will continue to make VanVleet available and the that Blazers will continue to make McCollum available. And I don't think Morey can expect to get multiple future 1st-round picks with any of those players. In any event, I don't think Sixers' ownership and Joel Embiid will allow Morey to accept a package centered on multiple future draft picks in the hope that the Sixers MIGHT someday turn those picks into Lillard, Beal or a comparable star. The Sixers simply aren't in a place where they can gamble on getting with future draft picks at some indefinite time down the road what they can't get today for Simmons.
Any leverage Morey might have had is gone has been frittered away through the workings of Morey's hubris. If the Wolves want Simmons, I think they'll need to give up D-Angelo Russell. But I don't think they should give up much more than that - not Beasley, not McDaniels, not multiple lightly-protected 1st-round picks and certainly not KAT or Edwards. I have no idea whether Gupta is willing to give up DLO in a Simmons deal. If he's not, then I don't see Simmons ending up in Minnesota. And even if he is, I still wouldn't be a lot on Simmons ending up here.
NBA Central: "I talked to Rich Paul, and Rich Paul was the one who told me, 'We want out. We want out. And we'll go to whatever degree we have to go to in order to get out. We want to be anywhere but in Philadelphia.'" - @RealJayWilliams (Via ESPN | h/t Bleacher Report) pic.twitter.com/8TzNQQi1LB 2 days ago - via Twitter TheNBACentral
The core leaders on the 76ers -- such as Joel Embiid, Tobias Harris and Matisse Thybulle -- and most of the team were set to take a jet to see Simmons before being turned away, sources said. Multiple sources said Simmons didn't want his teammates, some of whom he considers friends, to make the Philadelphia-to-Los Angeles commute out of courtesy because he won't change his mind on wanting a trade. 2 days ago - via Shams Charania and The Athletic Staff @ The Athletic
According to a source with knowledge of their situation, the Kings spoke to the Sixers weeks ago and made it clear that both De'Aaron Fox and Tyrese Haliburton would not be included in a possible Simmons deal. That stance, the source said, has not and will not change and the internal expectation is that the core of their roster will remain the same heading into training camp later this month. 4 weeks ago - via Sam Amick @ The Athletic
Sam Amick: As I wrote here, though, the fact that the Kings are unwilling to include De'Aaron Fox and/or Tyrese Haliburton in a possible Simmons deal is, for now at least, a deal-breaker. Heck, they're even trying to hold onto Harrison Barnes, from what I'm told. 4 weeks ago - via Sam Amick, David Aldridge, Jon Krawczynski, Derek Bodner @ The Athletic
Prior to the NBA Draft, the 76ers had reportedly asked for OG Anunoby, Kyle Lowry, Fred VanVleet, and the 4th overall pick, according to Matt Moore of the Action Network. That deal was, of course, turned down by the Raptors and it's unclear what kind of package Toronto would be willing to part with for Simmons. The most obvious name in trade talks would be Pascal Siakam, however, Toronto has repeatedly made it clear both publicly and privately to Siakam that they have not been shopping the 27-year-old former all-star in trade negotiations. - USA Today
Marla Ridenour: #Cavs GM Koby Altman said he wants Collin Sexton here long term. Won't negotiate in public so didn't go too deep. Neither he nor Bickerstaff believes it will affect Sexton's performance 5 hours ago - via Twitter MRidenourABJ
Casey Holdahl: "We will never be receptive to moving Damian Lillard." -- Neil Olshey
Source: Twitter @CHold
There can be no doubt that Simmons will not show up and another game for the Sixers. And as he becomes increasingly public and emphatic about his intent to hold out, offers seemingly available at one time 4 or more weeks ago, seem to be evaporating as the season approaches. The Kings have repeatedly said that neither Fox nor Haliburton is on the table for Simmons. Now the latest report out of Cleveland indicates that Kobe Altman wants to keep Sexton long term. Meanwhile, Olshey has recently reiterated that Lillard is in Portland to stay - making it clear that Morey is taking a huge gamble if he thinks he can wait and make a run at Lillard later in the season or next off-season. Is Indiana still willing to part with Brogdon and, if so, will Morey's ego allow him to take the offer and run with it?
It would appear that the Wolves remain the most aggressive suitor for Simmons. My caution to Gupta is to avoid bidding against himself because it's crystal clear that Morey has absolutely no leverage and teams around the League, while admittedly posturing to some extent, are obviously not drooling over the prospect of adding Ben Simmons. They all see the flaws in his game along with apparently failure to work on those flaws or accept coaching. There are certainly at last a few teams, including the Wolves, who would like to get Simmons and they're willing to give up value to get him. But the value they're willing to give up reflects Morey's lack of leverage resulting from his grossly overplayed hand.
I think Indiana is still willing to swap Brogdon. I also believe that the Kings migh eventually make Haliburton or Hield available, but not both. I think the Cavs might make Sexton available in spite of the recent comment from their PBO. I definitely think the Raptors will continue to make VanVleet available and the that Blazers will continue to make McCollum available. And I don't think Morey can expect to get multiple future 1st-round picks with any of those players. In any event, I don't think Sixers' ownership and Joel Embiid will allow Morey to accept a package centered on multiple future draft picks in the hope that the Sixers MIGHT someday turn those picks into Lillard, Beal or a comparable star. The Sixers simply aren't in a place where they can gamble on getting with future draft picks at some indefinite time down the road what they can't get today for Simmons.
Any leverage Morey might have had is gone has been frittered away through the workings of Morey's hubris. If the Wolves want Simmons, I think they'll need to give up D-Angelo Russell. But I don't think they should give up much more than that - not Beasley, not McDaniels, not multiple lightly-protected 1st-round picks and certainly not KAT or Edwards. I have no idea whether Gupta is willing to give up DLO in a Simmons deal. If he's not, then I don't see Simmons ending up in Minnesota. And even if he is, I still wouldn't be a lot on Simmons ending up here.