Missed Opportunities
Posted: Thu Jul 12, 2018 4:47 pm
When the Thibs regime ends, as I believe it will by next summer, we'll be able to look back on a number of things that brought it to an end. One would be the failure of Wiggins to come anywhere close to reaching his potential. Another might be KAT failing to further develop defensively. Still another would likely be Jimmy Butler taking his talent to some other franchise as a free agent. And of course, ultimately Thibodeau has to be held accountable as a head coach for failing to get the most out of the talent on his roster as we saw his first season when he failed to do better that Sam Mitchell even those the same group of players had more experience and had finished strong the previous season. But I want to focus in this thread on what I consider to be Thibodeau's failure as PBO to take full advantage of opportunities. Here's my list of what I'd call missed opportunities:
1. Drafting Justin Patton at #16 instead of John Collins, Anunoby, Kyle Kuzma or Josh Hart. I had John Collins and Anunoby slotted for for us at #16 in that order of preference. So I'm not relying on hindsight with respect to those two guys. Although I didn't peg Kuzma or Hart for that pick, the Lakers obviously saw their talent and I'd like to believe we have a savvy enough front office to do better than a rube like me and as well as a rival Western Conference front office. I know it's early and that Patton could emerge as a great pick. But as of right now, it looks like a terrible pick relative to other alternatives that rubes like me and other organizations did or would have done. So in my view, Thibodeau missed an opportunity to significantly improve our roster by failing to draft John Collins, Anunoby, Kuzma or Josh Hart
2. Failing to get Jordan Bell for cash included in the Butler deal. Knowing that the Bulls sold that pick for cash, it would seem obvious that the Wolves could have held out for that same swap as part of the Butler deal. It's crystal clear that the Bulls had already made up their mind to move on from Jimmy and start their rebuilding process. It was equally clear at the time that there weren't any other takers seriously competing with the Wolves for Butler. I strongly suspect the Wolves never pressed for including the 2nd round pick in exchange for cash. In my view, this was a missed opportunity to draft a talented, high energy young PF.
3. Failing to trade up from #16 to get Donovan Mitchell. You might recall that the Jazz traded all the way up from #24 to #13 and all they had to give up was Trey Lyles. So there's no doubt a swap of #16 for #13 to take Mitchell was there for the Wolves if our front office had been savvy enough to recognize Mitchell's potential and work out a deal with the Nuggets to get him. I'd say this was the biggest missed opportunity of them all by far. Draft Mitchell instead of Patton and we wouldn't have to worry about whether Wiggins develops. I have to believe that Jimmy would have loved playing with Mitchell, so it's more likely he'd be inclined to stay.
4. Failing to do a sign-and-trade this summer with the Lakers for Randle -- Taj for Randle. Knowing what Randle agreed to with the Pelicans it's obvious that his agent would have pushed hard for the deal I'm suggesting if the Wolves had offered it. And knowing that the Lakers are trying to build a contender for season by adding veterans on 1-year deals to keep their flexibility for next summer, I think it's likely the Lakers would have been receptive to the deal. Obviously, it remains to be seen how Randle does this season and thereafter. But I'm willing to wager that he'll be really good and would have been a terrific addition to the Wolves with his strength, explosiveness and high energy next to KAT.
5. Failing to trade Jimmy Butler draft night for a top 5 pick, which I think was doable. I truly believe that the Grizzlies would have dealt their pick to us for Butler. Obviously, it's fair to say I can't know this for sure. I'm clearly speculating, but I think my conjecture is reasonable.
I'm not going to get into what I'd consider to be mistakes our front office made, such as overpaying Teague rather than signing Darren Collison for substantially less last summer -- also something that's not based on hindsight since I had this idea last summer. Instead, I'm limiting my post and this thread strictly to what I'd call missed opportunities. Obviously, we won't know if I'm right on most of my list until at least a year from now. So we can all comment on my list or offer different lists right now. But we'll have to come back to this thread in a year to discuss further.
1. Drafting Justin Patton at #16 instead of John Collins, Anunoby, Kyle Kuzma or Josh Hart. I had John Collins and Anunoby slotted for for us at #16 in that order of preference. So I'm not relying on hindsight with respect to those two guys. Although I didn't peg Kuzma or Hart for that pick, the Lakers obviously saw their talent and I'd like to believe we have a savvy enough front office to do better than a rube like me and as well as a rival Western Conference front office. I know it's early and that Patton could emerge as a great pick. But as of right now, it looks like a terrible pick relative to other alternatives that rubes like me and other organizations did or would have done. So in my view, Thibodeau missed an opportunity to significantly improve our roster by failing to draft John Collins, Anunoby, Kuzma or Josh Hart
2. Failing to get Jordan Bell for cash included in the Butler deal. Knowing that the Bulls sold that pick for cash, it would seem obvious that the Wolves could have held out for that same swap as part of the Butler deal. It's crystal clear that the Bulls had already made up their mind to move on from Jimmy and start their rebuilding process. It was equally clear at the time that there weren't any other takers seriously competing with the Wolves for Butler. I strongly suspect the Wolves never pressed for including the 2nd round pick in exchange for cash. In my view, this was a missed opportunity to draft a talented, high energy young PF.
3. Failing to trade up from #16 to get Donovan Mitchell. You might recall that the Jazz traded all the way up from #24 to #13 and all they had to give up was Trey Lyles. So there's no doubt a swap of #16 for #13 to take Mitchell was there for the Wolves if our front office had been savvy enough to recognize Mitchell's potential and work out a deal with the Nuggets to get him. I'd say this was the biggest missed opportunity of them all by far. Draft Mitchell instead of Patton and we wouldn't have to worry about whether Wiggins develops. I have to believe that Jimmy would have loved playing with Mitchell, so it's more likely he'd be inclined to stay.
4. Failing to do a sign-and-trade this summer with the Lakers for Randle -- Taj for Randle. Knowing what Randle agreed to with the Pelicans it's obvious that his agent would have pushed hard for the deal I'm suggesting if the Wolves had offered it. And knowing that the Lakers are trying to build a contender for season by adding veterans on 1-year deals to keep their flexibility for next summer, I think it's likely the Lakers would have been receptive to the deal. Obviously, it remains to be seen how Randle does this season and thereafter. But I'm willing to wager that he'll be really good and would have been a terrific addition to the Wolves with his strength, explosiveness and high energy next to KAT.
5. Failing to trade Jimmy Butler draft night for a top 5 pick, which I think was doable. I truly believe that the Grizzlies would have dealt their pick to us for Butler. Obviously, it's fair to say I can't know this for sure. I'm clearly speculating, but I think my conjecture is reasonable.
I'm not going to get into what I'd consider to be mistakes our front office made, such as overpaying Teague rather than signing Darren Collison for substantially less last summer -- also something that's not based on hindsight since I had this idea last summer. Instead, I'm limiting my post and this thread strictly to what I'd call missed opportunities. Obviously, we won't know if I'm right on most of my list until at least a year from now. So we can all comment on my list or offer different lists right now. But we'll have to come back to this thread in a year to discuss further.