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***FINAL WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Sat Oct 24, 2015 5:53 pm
by longstrangetrip [enjin:6600564]
Abe 22
bleedspeed 22
WildWolf 23
Lipoli 23
m4gor 24
porkchop 25
Q 26
Khans 26
Volans 27
Kekgeek 27
Kiwi 28
Monster 29
mrhockey 30
Cool 31
Alex 31
Carlos Danger 32
Mstermisty 35
Mikkeman 35
Cam 35
Bayou Wolf 36
LST 36
Big O 37
Lloyd 38
Sjm 41
Rage Monster 42
Rubiooooooooo 43
Doper 44
Maelstrom11 46
48WinTim 48
Phenom 49!
Re: ***FINAL WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Sat Oct 24, 2015 6:01 pm
by 60WinTim
I became bearish when Zach lost the starting SG spot. But I returned to bullish when the vision became clear. 48WinTim it is!
Re: ***FINAL WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Sat Oct 24, 2015 6:01 pm
by Big O [enjin:13874644]
I remain optimistic. 38 may be too high but we will be in the 30's. 37 is my new #
Re: ***FINAL WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Sat Oct 24, 2015 6:07 pm
by longstrangetrip [enjin:6600564]
Too much noise and too many revisions in our initial thread, so I am adding another one, in order of most pessimistic to most optimistic and reflecting the latest predictions. We now know who is healthy and who is not, who Sam is going to start, and roughly what the rotation will be, so now is the time to lock in your prediction.
Your benevolent thread sponsor will be allowing revisions up and until tipoff at 9:30 CST Wednesday. I will update the first entry in this thread with the latest and greatest forecasts.
The current median forecast is 33 wins, and the current mean is 32 (although this will go up when bleed submits his real forecast!). The average Vegas line is 26 wins, so we are optimistic again. But will this turn out to be the year we finally get it right?
The clock is ticking, boys...crunch those numbers and get your final pick in!
Re: ***FINAL WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Sat Oct 24, 2015 6:19 pm
by Q12543 [enjin:6621299]
My only issue with this is that it doesn't recognize folks that may have got it right from the beginning. It's not as much of a prediction if people are editing things as we go. You should at least note those that updated their predictions after X # of pre-season games.
Re: ***FINAL WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Sat Oct 24, 2015 6:21 pm
by Camden [enjin:6601484]
Even after Sam Mitchell's foolish decision to start Tayshaun Prince, and I have zero faith in him as a head coach, I refuse to change my wins prediction. I probably have more faith in Karl-Anthony Towns as a rookie than most here, and I expect him to be a positive in year one rather than a negative.
Re: ***FINAL WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Sat Oct 24, 2015 6:29 pm
by khans2k5 [enjin:6608728]
Q12543 wrote:My only issue with this is that it doesn't recognize folks that may have got it right from the beginning. It's not as much of a prediction if people are editing things as we go. You should at least note those that updated their predictions after X # of pre-season games.
Since no games have counted to date I don't get why these win totals wouldn't be fine. Why should there be a difference between picking at the start of camp and the end of camp? I get not allowing editing once the season has started, but the rotation has changed since the start of camp so I think it's perfectly reasonable for people to edit their guesses as long as the season hasn't started. Is your interest in noting the edits for people to say they knew it all along if they're right and didn't edit or for you to call people out for changing it for whatever reason? I don't get why that's necessary. Information changes. It's smart to re-evaluate and potentially adjust when new information is presented.
Re: ***FINAL WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Sat Oct 24, 2015 6:36 pm
by longstrangetrip [enjin:6600564]
khans2k5 wrote:Q12543 wrote:My only issue with this is that it doesn't recognize folks that may have got it right from the beginning. It's not as much of a prediction if people are editing things as we go. You should at least note those that updated their predictions after X # of pre-season games.
Since no games have counted to date I don't get why these win totals wouldn't be fine. Why should there be a difference between picking at the start of camp and the end of camp? I get not allowing editing once the season has started, but the rotation has changed since the start of camp so I think it's perfectly reasonable for people to edit their guesses as long as the season hasn't started. Is your interest in noting the edits for people to say they knew it all along if they're right and didn't edit or for you to call people out for changing it for whatever reason? I don't get why that's necessary. Information changes. It's smart to re-evaluate and potentially adjust when new information is presented.
Yes, and Q, the other thread is still there. So bragging rights can be attached to that thread if so desired.
Re: ***FINAL WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Sat Oct 24, 2015 6:47 pm
by Camden [enjin:6601484]
Karl-Anthony Towns: 11.7 PPG, 7.4 RPG, 1.0 BPG, 52.6 FG% (30-57 from the field), 88 FT% (22-25 from the line) in 23 MPG over the preseason. Wow.
Re: ***FINAL WINS PREDICTION THREAD***
Posted: Sat Oct 24, 2015 6:53 pm
by khans2k5 [enjin:6608728]
Camden0916 wrote:Karl-Anthony Towns: 11.7 PPG, 7.4 RPG, 1.0 BPG, 52.6 FG% (30-57 from the field), 88 FT% (22-25 from the line) in 23 MPG over the preseason. Wow.
He played well. My only critique of him is he needs to box out better. He got dominated by Monroe the first game and gave up a bad offensive rebound off a free throw the last game to O'Bryant late in the 4th. He can't do that during a real game because that might cost us the game. Everything else looked promising.