Tyus Jones
Posted: Sun Jun 02, 2019 2:46 pm
Tyus just turned 23 years old and is entering his 5th NBA season as a restricted free agent. He never averaged more than 18 minutes per game until last season when he averaged nearly 23. He's played for 4 different head coaches in his 4 seasons.
So what do we know about his game so far based on his limited minutes through these past 4 tumultuous seasons?
On the positive side, we know he protects the ball and forces turnovers at a very high level. Last season he averaged 1.2 steals in 22.9 minutes per game while only turning the ball over 0.7 times. He's not super quick, but he has quick hands, a quick mind and terrific instincts that make him a good defender in spite of his physical limitations. He's also an excellent playmaker, averaging 4.8 assists last season. Weighing those assists against his 0.7 turnovers per game, Tyus has an elite assist to turnover ratio. I think it's fair to say Tyus has a very high basketball IQ and knows how to run an offense. We know that Jeff Teague thinks highly of him as Jeff constantly and publicly lobbied Thibodeau to give Tyus more playing time and play them both at the same time. Going back a bit in time, he was Final Four MVP for the championship Duke team.
What what's the rap on Tyus? He has his detractors who focus on his size and lack of elite athleticism. Those limitations might ultimately prevent him from becoming an all star, but I don't find them particularly instructive in determining whether he can be a solid starter or at least a highly valuable rotation player off the bench. Kyle Lowry and Fred VanVleet are a couple of players with size and athletic profiles that aren't much different from Tyus. And Kyle has, in fact, been an all star. Tyus is also criticized for his 3-point shooting, which has been in the low 30s. But keep in mind that Kyle Lowry's 3-point percentage languished around 30% until his 5th season when, at the age of 24, his percentage jumped into the high 30s where it's stayed ever since. Interestingly, his 3-point percentage jumped in his 5th season concurrent with a big increase in his minutes from the low/mid 20s to the mid-30s. As another example, Kemba Walker's 3-point percentage was around 30% until his 5th season when it jumped into the high 30s. Also keep in mind that Tyus was a 38% 3-point shooter in his one college season, so it's not as if he hasn't shown shooting range. We see pundit articles and message board posts raving about prospective draftees based on college 3-point percentages of 36-38%. So it's important to remember what Tyus did back in college.
All of this is not to suggest Tyus will be a great player or even a starting caliber PG. And it's not an argument for re-signing him at any cost. But it's a reminder that the final chapter on what Tyus can become hasn't been written in 4 seasons with limited, erratic minutes and a ton of coaching turnover playing for an organization with a history of poor player development. That's especially true when you consider Tyus's young age. I'd like to see his minutes bump up in his upcoming 5th season the way Lowry's minutes ramped up in his 5th season. I suspect his 3-point percentage would go up and that he's become a far more reliable scorer while continuing to get the most out of his teammates, force turnovers and protect the ball. What should the Wolves be willing to pay to keep him? That depends on his market price and other moves the Wolves make on draft day and early July. If it were up to me, I'd be highly inclined to re-sign him. Right now, I'd consider 4 years at $6 million per year a reasonable deal to lock him up. I might go higher, depending on other moves. Now that we have what appears to be a highly professional front office with an appreciation for player development, I think it would be a mistake to let go of Tyus at this juncture, just after his 23rd birthday.
So what do we know about his game so far based on his limited minutes through these past 4 tumultuous seasons?
On the positive side, we know he protects the ball and forces turnovers at a very high level. Last season he averaged 1.2 steals in 22.9 minutes per game while only turning the ball over 0.7 times. He's not super quick, but he has quick hands, a quick mind and terrific instincts that make him a good defender in spite of his physical limitations. He's also an excellent playmaker, averaging 4.8 assists last season. Weighing those assists against his 0.7 turnovers per game, Tyus has an elite assist to turnover ratio. I think it's fair to say Tyus has a very high basketball IQ and knows how to run an offense. We know that Jeff Teague thinks highly of him as Jeff constantly and publicly lobbied Thibodeau to give Tyus more playing time and play them both at the same time. Going back a bit in time, he was Final Four MVP for the championship Duke team.
What what's the rap on Tyus? He has his detractors who focus on his size and lack of elite athleticism. Those limitations might ultimately prevent him from becoming an all star, but I don't find them particularly instructive in determining whether he can be a solid starter or at least a highly valuable rotation player off the bench. Kyle Lowry and Fred VanVleet are a couple of players with size and athletic profiles that aren't much different from Tyus. And Kyle has, in fact, been an all star. Tyus is also criticized for his 3-point shooting, which has been in the low 30s. But keep in mind that Kyle Lowry's 3-point percentage languished around 30% until his 5th season when, at the age of 24, his percentage jumped into the high 30s where it's stayed ever since. Interestingly, his 3-point percentage jumped in his 5th season concurrent with a big increase in his minutes from the low/mid 20s to the mid-30s. As another example, Kemba Walker's 3-point percentage was around 30% until his 5th season when it jumped into the high 30s. Also keep in mind that Tyus was a 38% 3-point shooter in his one college season, so it's not as if he hasn't shown shooting range. We see pundit articles and message board posts raving about prospective draftees based on college 3-point percentages of 36-38%. So it's important to remember what Tyus did back in college.
All of this is not to suggest Tyus will be a great player or even a starting caliber PG. And it's not an argument for re-signing him at any cost. But it's a reminder that the final chapter on what Tyus can become hasn't been written in 4 seasons with limited, erratic minutes and a ton of coaching turnover playing for an organization with a history of poor player development. That's especially true when you consider Tyus's young age. I'd like to see his minutes bump up in his upcoming 5th season the way Lowry's minutes ramped up in his 5th season. I suspect his 3-point percentage would go up and that he's become a far more reliable scorer while continuing to get the most out of his teammates, force turnovers and protect the ball. What should the Wolves be willing to pay to keep him? That depends on his market price and other moves the Wolves make on draft day and early July. If it were up to me, I'd be highly inclined to re-sign him. Right now, I'd consider 4 years at $6 million per year a reasonable deal to lock him up. I might go higher, depending on other moves. Now that we have what appears to be a highly professional front office with an appreciation for player development, I think it would be a mistake to let go of Tyus at this juncture, just after his 23rd birthday.