jester1534 wrote:monsterpile wrote:Jester I do look at the long contracts that way. Those deals if they don't work out can still hurt you even in the short term. It's a gamble and I never said I absolutely wouldn't do it but it certainly worries me. Yes it worked out with the Max S. Deal but how many other ones didn't? Just to be clear I'm not taking pot shots at your plan or your idea of signing Randon for that deal just saying how I feel.
Just know I respect you for putting your plan out there. I probably won't I just don't know the league well enough and with baseball having such an extensive minor league system that makes decision what to do even harder because there are even more options and moves to make than say the NFL or NBA. You MIGHT actually have 3 studs in the minor league system. That's not as likely with the NBA. It's also more likely to be able to find some random pitchers that ca be high end or well above average that basically come out of nowhere. You don't play for those things though...well maybe planning for finding one trash heap reliever in signing a bunch of minor league deal guys is reasonable. Lol
I'm not mad or anything its just in baseball there's no cap so theortically if the Twins wanted they could sign Cole, Strausburg and Rendon. My point was to state if the Twins dont take a shot on a top guy this offseason then it will never happen as long as the Pohlads are in charge. I looked up the 10 biggest contracts from the last 10 years to see if they worked out. The bar I judge on is if they team made a World Series during the contract.
1. Bryce Harper, Phillies: 13 years, $330 million (2019-31) TBD
2. Manny Machado, Padres: 10 years, $300 million (2019-28) TBD
3. Alex Rodriguez, Yankees: 10 years, $275 million (2008-17) YES
4. Alex Rodriguez, Rangers: 10 years, $252 million (2001-10) NO
5 (tie). Albert Pujols, Angels: 10 years, $240 million (2012-21)NO
5 (tie) Robinson Canó, Mariners: 10 years, $240 million (2014-23) NO
7. David Price, Red Sox: 7 years, $217 million (2016-22) YES
8. Prince Fielder, Tigers: 9 years, $214 million (2012-20) YES
9. Max Scherzer, Nationals: 7 years, $210 million (2015-21)YES
10. Zack Greinke, D-backs: 6 years, $206.5 million (2016-21) YES kind of
Just basing on this its a 40/60 Shot of producing going to the World Series during those contracts.