sjm34 wrote:AbeVigodaLive wrote:
Look at what I wrote again.
To summarize: Based on #1 draft picks in recent NBA history (10+ years), Wiggins at the pace he was playing at... would be an anomaly if he ended up as a superstar. None of the other stars had started out that poorly. But there was still time...
And I was clear to mention that I didn't think Wiggins was in the camp of the failed #1 picks.
Was it fair to group Wiggins only with other #1 draft picks? That part can be debated. But that's where the anomaly part came in from in any case. As for the free throw stuff... meh. Whether it's only from free throws or respect from opponents, it's not realistic to expect a rookie to get preferential treatment from officials. I took the post as "it's the refs fault." Personally, I think Wiggins has been officiated pretty fairly. He shoots a ton of mid-range jumpers yet still shoots a pretty solid number of free throws.
In fact, I think shooting 4 attempts already is a great sign. There's so much more opportunity there. I'd like to see him double that total in the next couple of years so he's near the league leaders. As Goldberry's article discusses today, learning what is and what isn't a good shot should help a lot.
That isn't true though. You looked at a full season for those other #1 picks, not their first twenty some games. I remember watching the wolves a game later (believe you stated you went to the game), and Petersen put up a stat that Lebron after 20 games had a fg% of 38 or 39. Some rookies hit the ground running and teams learn to adjust to them, while others need to find their way, and make slow steady progress. Most of us knew that Wiggins was going to be the latter. Bottom line is that all the rookies go through steps during the year, and comparing one guy after 26 games to full seasons for the rest is an unfair comp.
Regardless of how you interpreted my ref bias has no bearing on you making a jump to Wiggins shooting 11 FT's and then in another post poking fun at that jump. You skewed what I said, even after I further explained what I meant, and then had some snarky comment about you will continue to watch the games objectively.
You said something like Wiggins would be scoring (x) number of points more if wasn't for lousy officiating.
I found that statement humorous and unrealistic. Meh. Big deal. I'll probably rip you for other comments like that about officiating too. It was pure conjecture with a "they're out to get us" vibe. Every player in the NBA can complain about not getting foul calls. It's not just Wiggins.
James did struggle with his shooting for most of his rookie season. But shooting isn't the only stat. James was also averaging around 20 points with 5+ assists and 5+ rebounds after 26 games. From his first game, he "looked" like a star, and had multiple games or moments when he played like it... we can debate whether that's relevant or not.
Wiggins really wasn't filling the stat sheet like James and his "whoa" moments were harder to come by. A play here, a play there. But, a game? Granted, since then he's had some definite moments and games. He went on a very good, very promising run.
And for the 312th time... that's awesome. That's what we all were wishing for then and we're still wishing for now. It's ok to use stats to show that a player isn't playing well. Even if it's your favorite player for your favorite team. Even it's after 26 games, 4 seasons or one week. As long as it's with a disclaimer, which we all gave in that thread. He's playing bad now... but he has time to improve. Again. Pretty simple premise. Don't know how it got to this point.
Not a person said Wiggins was a lousy player or wouldn't amount to anything. Not one. So let's get that straight for the 312the time. But he was struggling at the time more than any recent "legit" #1 pick. Not in every category, but in some of them. More categories than the other #1 picks (and there are many factors for this, obviously, that have been and can be discussed without personal shots).
Good to see Wiggins getting better though. I knew all along that he would. I'm pretty smart that way.