Q12543 wrote:kekgeek1 wrote:thedoper wrote:I'm surprised by the lack of pessimism around this team generally here and in the various media sources local and national. I think the alternative needs to be looked at. If we didn't trade for Butler for instance we are a lottery team. Would that have made us happier or more optimistic? If we made different free agent signings we would have been at or near the same outcome. This team no matter who was our coach or GM is was going to be linked to the long term development of Towns and Wiggins. So are we so much less optimistic because they grossly under performed relative to their potential? Any GM or coach would have had a huge task to bring what we had at this point last year to where we are at right now. We have way more assets, options, and ways to build this team. And yes I believe Towns and Wiggins can continue to improve and develop. I am super excited.
I feel like Me/you/monster are in the more optimistic group (doesn't mean it is right or wrong) on the Wolves prospects coming up in the next couple of years but that doesn't mean that the wolves situation is very awkward at the moment.
I think the thing that makes it really awkward is that the Wolves really have no back door plan if it goes bad next offseason. Right now the Wolves are against the cap. So we can only use the MLE and the Wolves still need to sign 2 of our at least decent bench players in Belly and Tyus. So because we are up against the cap we might not be able to sign the 2 bench guys who have actually been decent for us. That does not mean they are not replaceable though but it is nice to be able to develop our own bench talent.
The Thing is if Butler wants out next year, the wolves are still stuck with Wiggins/Town/Teague and Gorgui alone going to make approx. 97 mil for those 4 alone. So we will not be able to replace the contributions that Jimmy was able to bring.
The wolves need to hit on draft picks to bring in young cheap talent. That is the difference between a excellent organization and one that just sits in the middle of the pack. Can you hit on middle 1st round to 2nd round picks. Right now it is not looking good on the Patton pick. Cant fault him getting hurt and it is very bad luck but still it is a missed asset that we could of had. Look at the teams in the playoffs with the middle to 2nd round picks. Warriors: Green, Rockets: Capela, Boston: Rozier, Bucks: Greek Freak and Brogdon, Jazz: Gobert, also traded up to get Mitchell, Sixers: Covington.
We have to hit on draft picks. Also we need Wiggins and Towns to continue to develop. I think Wiggins got better this year. But he is still nowhere near where he needs to be for us to legit contend.
Now I still do the Butler trade 100 out of 100 times. But we need Thibs and company, to draft well, and the continued development of Kat and Wiggins and if they don't develop we are in the middle ground of the NBA.
I think you are spot on here with your assessment Kekgeek IF they choose to take a more incremental approach to the roster. It should be no surprise that I am highly skeptical of Wiggins developing into much more than he already is, which is totally unacceptable given his contract. I'd prefer a more aggressive approach that looks to shop Wiggins, potentially move Teague to a 6th man role, and see if there is any way we can unload Dieng and replace him with a guy like Baynes.
I agree with Kekgeek. Given that we can only use around $5.4 million of our MLE, it's hard to see how this team goes from barely making the playoffs this season to becoming a championship contender. We don't have the cap room to improve significantly via free agency. Our first round pick from last season is having a second foot surgery and, even when healthy, he was a mediocre player at the G-League level. And we don't have tradeable contracts, except for KAT and perhaps Butler. Trading KAT would be idiotic.
Trading Wiggins is tempting if there's someone out there willing to give a lot of value in return. But I'd be reluctant to deal him this summer. I still remember a prior Wolves regime giving up on Chauncey Billups. OKC gave up on Oladipo after his 4th season in favor of Paul George. In his 5th season, Oladipo became the star player Flip though he'd be back when Flip was trying to trade up in the draft to get him.
My main concern about giving up on Wiggins is that it would mean going all on building around Butler and KAT. I just don't see a team built primarily around those two becoming a championship contender. More specifically, I just don't feel secure resting my championship hopes on Jimmy Butler. Several reasons for that. First, he simply can't stay healthy. He's averaged around 67 games per season over his career and played at least 70 games in only two of his seven seasons. And that history spans his career while in his early and mid-20s. He'll be 29 before next season starts and just had meniscus surgery. According to Thibodeau, Jimmy was having knee pain in our last playoff game. And even when healthy, I don't believe Butler is in that elite class of players like LeBron, Durant, Curry, Harden or Westbrook. Finally, Butler can opt out and leave as a FA after this next season or break the Wolves bank by insisting on a max contract, which would probably be around $30 million per year.
I wouldn't blow things up this summer. Instead, I'd try to improve our bench via free agency and our two draft picks. I'd use our limited MLE to sign the best possible shot-blocking big or 3D wing. I'd use our two draft picks to try and get a Kyle Kuzma caliber player at any position. In other words, I'd draft the best available player who looks like he could contribute right away. I we end up on the fringe of playoff contention by the trade deadline, I'd trade Butler along with Teague and start retooling around KAT and Wiggins.