AbeVigodaLive wrote:JasonIsDaMan wrote:AbeVigodaLive wrote:JasonIsDaMan wrote:AbeVigodaLive wrote:JasonIsDaMan wrote:AbeVigodaLive wrote:I'm not entirely sure Gay doesn't walk from that deal.
He's probably going to want one more "big" multi-year contract right? The cap is still going to be big next season. I'm not sure about all the guys on the market he'd have to compete with... but wouldn't he garner more from that deal as a soon-to-be 31 year old rather than a soon-to-be-32 year old?
Especially with possible/probable changes to the CBA surely coming...?
The cap may only jump from $94m to $102m.
As far as it pertains to Hetero, I'll put it this way: "Board Favorite" Eric Gordon had a positive PER split at PG, SG, and SF, and was a -72 on a team that was -312. He parlayed that into a $2.25m pay CUT, and that contract has been widely derided as one of the 20 worst contracts handed out in a offseason where the cap jumped 34%.
Now hetero might have a good season, but in '15/'16, he had a positive PER split at two positions (one of which he averaged less than a minute a game), and was a -86 on a team that was -205. Now we have all seen some amazing happen in contract years, but it's not looking good for him to walk away from $14m in a year where the cap might only jump 9%.
And for the Wolves to be stuck with that makes no sense. The Wolves are not a SMALL MARKET team, but they are a LOW REVENUE team, although to be fair, some of that is not their fault.
Eric Gordon just signed a 4 year, $53M contract. I think that's fairly close what Gay (at his current pace) could garner on the open market. So even with a slight paycut, he'd be looking at $40M. Or $50M. Or, $14M.
For a 30/31 year old, he's gonna want to lock in several more years at the highest yearly salary he can get. I imagine that's going to be next offseason. We'll see though.
I'm not saying the Wolves should bring him in.
Yes. Gordon "earned" $15.5m last year, and $53m divided by 4 years is $13.25m. That is a $2.25m pay cut. In a year that the cap jumped from $70m to $94m, or 34%, he took a pay cut. So a older, worse player in a year that the cap only jumps 8%? It shouldn't go well for him.
Don't get me wrong. He has a year to go, and there are still some idiots involved in the NBA, but I don't like his chances. Therefore, I don't like the chances of whomever has him on July 1st, 2017.
I'm not convinced every NBA team is convinced Eric Gordon is the better player.
We can both pick and choose whichever stats we want to try to prove a point... but we know how that goes. Let's just leave the Gordon > Gay discussion up for debate and assume it's not a slam dunk call either way. Gordon, after all, does have a lengthy injury history. And as noted in this thread, there might be a team out there convinced Gay can play the 4. Guys like Harrison Barnes are making about $24M.
Maybe Marvin Williams is a decent comp for Gay? He just signed for 4 year/$54.5M.
All I'm saying is that $14M is nice... but being able to get close to that figure over multiple seasons is a lot better.
Ok, I'll agree with the Gordon/Hetero push. And I think we can both agree that the Gordon benefited greatly from the timing that he IN NO WAY planned for.
But I would argue that I would rather have Williams than Hetero, believing that Williams has had the better career. Yes, ATL screwed up drafting him at #2 that year, but it doesn't make him a Darko/Beasley level bust.
And the timing is the timing, fair or not. A 9% cap jump just isn't the same as a 34% one. I believe he opts in and has a bad '17/'18.
I think Williams was better LAST season. But he was in a really good situation for him in Atlanta. Stay in your lane, stay out of the way. It's good to see him develop into that role later in his career.
But I don't think he had nearly as much of an impact for several seasons earlier in his career. That being said... is Gay capable of staying in his lane... or will his ability to create and all that actually hurt every team he's ever on because he does what's best for him... not the team?
I think if hetero was offered 4/54 he would buff the floor after each game. I don't think he is a jerk, I just don't think he's that good.