AbeVigodaLive wrote:bleedspeed177 wrote:I don't like the idea of 2 years for a 5th big. Even if it is cheap.
Is it good money for the 3rd big in the rotation? Or, even a part-time starter?
It's conceivable that Hill gets 20 - 25 mpg. Personally, unless there's some underlying issues with the guy that end up surfacing... I think it's one of the better (financially) signings of the offseason.
We've got too many bigs. Hill and Aldrich make sense at those deals if they are as productive as they have been in the past, but we don't have the minutes for them to be as productive as they have in the past.
Even if you assume "Pek is done," KG is out, and Payne never plays, that's still 5 guys for 2 positions, a total of 96 minutes. How would you guys break down the minutes? Seriously, it doesn't work without drastically cutting somebody's minutes from what they got last year.
Abe says it's conceivable for Hill to get 20-25, which would be in line with his minutes the past couple seasons. But let's assume Towns, Dieng, Aldrich, Bjelica, and Hill are the priority list, and let's conservatively lay out how many minutes our guys should get for the first four and see how many would be left for Hill.
Towns (34), Dieng (28), Aldrich (16), Bjelica (16)
34-Towns should probably actually get 36.
28-Dieng's too good to get fewer minutes, and should arguably get more.
16-Aldrich should get 16 given his production last year.
16-Bjelica averaged almost 18 last year and should be better next year, and we need his outside shooting so we can't cut his minutes too much. Conservatively I'll say 16, but could realistically deserve 20 given his versatility and our need for shooting.
How many minutes does that conservative estimate for the first four guys leave for Hill? 2. And Hill averaged 20 minutes last year and complained when he got less. I'm glad we have depth, but a couple guys are going to be really unhappy in our locker room next year.
And this is assuming KG is not back.
For those who support signing Hill. How would you break down the 96 minutes? Then think about how Thibs is top-heavy with his lineups.