Bold prediction time

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longstrangetrip [enjin:6600564]
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Re: Bold prediction time

Post by longstrangetrip [enjin:6600564] »

60WinTim wrote:Blake Griffin. He was terrible his first year - didn't even hit a shot all year!

The Wolves will crack the 50 win barrier and likely make the playoffs.

Yeah, we lose a lot with Love gone, but the additions will will more than make up for the lost production. Just about everyone will pick up the slack in rebounding. Pek will have a few more, Wiggins is a WAY BETTER rebounder than Brewer, and Dieng's rebounding will be a factor all season long. And our defense ought be better with a PF willing to exert effort on that end (not just rebounding), the addition of Wiggins, Dieng playing all season, Barea being demoted, and Flip's self-proclaimed focus on defense and defensive schemes.

On offense, I think people have forgotten just how effective Pek can be. Young is no slouch on offense, and the makeover of our bench should keep it from being in the bottom of the league like it was last year.

It's going to be fun year!



Tim, you're crazy about Blake Griffin. I watched a lot of Clippers games his first year, and not only did he not miss a shot the entire year, he also didn't allow a point all year!
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maelstrom11 [enjin:6599701]
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Re: Bold prediction time

Post by maelstrom11 [enjin:6599701] »

My bold prediction..........Wolves will sweep the season series against the Cavs. KLove will skip the game in MN to avoid ackwardness of being boo'ed etc. Wiggins will put up 40 in the game at Cleveland and hold Lebron to 25 on D.
mjs34
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Re: Bold prediction time

Post by mjs34 »

Camden wrote:I know it looks like I'm raining down on the Bennett parade, but here are some things to consider:

- In Thad's entire NBA career, he's played 516 games out of a possible 558. That's an average of 93% of the games each season. In the last four years, he's played 300 out of a possible 312 games (an average 96% of each season). He has an impeccable record of durability. I wouldn't make any predictions based on Thad missing a significant amount of games due to injury.

- Flip will not move Young out of the starting lineup for several reasons. The first reason: he won't need to. Young's exactly the type of player Flip has been looking for since he took over last year. Plays the game hard on both ends of the floor. He's not a ballhog in any sense of the word (actually is a very underrated passer). Thad makes hustle plays and he's one of the handful of veterans on this team as he's played seven years in the NBA. Keep in mind Thad also just had a career year in a lot of statistical categories, though it was on a bad team. I could see Thad improving on his numbers from last year, however, while playing for a more competitive team whose primary goal isn't to tank for a draft pick. Also, playing with Rubio will help that goal. Those are the on-court reasons. Now think about it from a contract standpoint. If Flip bumped Thad to a bench role in favor of a sophomore player who likely didn't beat him out for the job, why would Thad stay in Minnesota? He'd become a free agent at the end of the year and leave, plain and simple. At some point, most of you will realize Young's more than a sixth man type player. He's a QUALITY two-way starter in the NBA, and likely a top-10 player at his position in most people's rankings.

- Bennett has yet to show anything positive in the NBA. Yes, he's only played one season, but I'd ask Bennett believers to name a successful No. 1 overall pick who was as awful as he was last year, excuses be damned. He'll have to make a complete 180 and then some to start taking away minutes from Thad, or Gorgui for that matter.


You are way overvaluing what type of player Thad is. He is a SF/PF tweener, who doesn't have the skillset to play SF so he is asked to play undersized at the PF position. He isn't a top 10 PF in this league, and is likely not a top 15.

TD
Randolph
Dirk
Ibaka
Lee
Bosh
Griffin
Faried
LA
Favors
Pau Gasol
Taj Gibson
Love
AD
Plumlee
West
Milsap
Monroe
Markief Morris

I have no problem with Thad getting time, and expect him to play around 30 minutes to start the season, but I think that will fall off if any of the younger guys take a step up. I don't see Flip being real stringent on position though. I think you will see Wiggins playing 2&3, Bennett playing 3&4, Laving playing 1&2, Brewer playing 2&3, etc.

I don't expect Flip to give any consideration to re-signing Thad when deciding how many minutes he will play. I also find it funny how you are always hedging your bets with comments like " If Flip bumped Thad to a bench role in favor of a sophomore player who likely didn't beat him out for the job ".
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A Friendly Flatulence [enjin:8907904]
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Re: Bold prediction time

Post by A Friendly Flatulence [enjin:8907904] »

The Wolves will lead all teams in total dunks this season
mjs34
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Re: Bold prediction time

Post by mjs34 »

Cam, you are really reaching on half of your comments.

If Faried isn't skilled, what exactly is Young skilled at. He has a bad handle, isn't a good perimeter shooter, is undersized for the 4???????

If you are going to dismiss guys like West because he is old and starting to tail off, doesn't that open up the argument for Bennett, Plumlee, TJones, etc. getting better?

Morris' 14/6 was in significantly less minutes, but he was a more efficient player and has the size to play the position as well.

TD has been a PF since he came into the league, and Splitter is their C. Anthony Davis played some C due to Smith being out for the season, but do you really see him playing their this season with Asik on the team? Gasol will be playing next to Noah, who is a C. Gasol has played both depending on the roster, but no question where he will be slotted. Kanter logged 27 minutes a game at C for Utah, so I don't see how we can categorize Favors as a C. Favors may play there in their small ball lineups, but I guarantee you they see him as their PF on that team.
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bleedspeed
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Re: Bold prediction time

Post by bleedspeed »

I would be interested to see peoples tiers for PF.

5.0 MVP
4.0 All-Star
3.0 Near All-Star
2.0 Starter
1.0 Rotation Bench
0.0 Bench

Thad - 2.5
Hummell - 0.0
Dante - 1.0

Honestly I Bennett is hard to gauge. He is more of a range guy.
1.0 to 4.0 in my book. Can his IQ catch up to his skills?
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worldK
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Re: Bold prediction time

Post by worldK »

I was the first to say it here when it was all but confirmed that the love for wiggins deal will happen.

Andrew wiggins will win the rookie of the year. He will be a better scorer than a lot of people project him to be his rookie season.

Im predicting rubio will earn max salary consideration with his play next season.

And i predict 8 reb per game for thad young.
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apollotsg [enjin:6592798]
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Re: Bold prediction time

Post by apollotsg [enjin:6592798] »

My bold prediction: Nikola leads the team in scoring with over 20 ppg, rebounding with 12 rpg, and plays in 70+ games.
mjs34
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Re: Bold prediction time

Post by mjs34 »

Camden wrote:"If Faried isn't skilled, what exactly is Young skilled at. He has a bad handle, isn't a good perimeter shooter, is undersized for the 4???????"

Faried's 100% dependent on athleticism and energy. If you can't recognize that Young is more skilled, than I don't know what players you're watching. Young's got an acceptable handle for a PF, terrific floater, can finish around the rim in a multitude of ways with each hand (left hand dominant) and is a decent shooter from mid-range. He's also a capable passer. I don't get why you think Faried's equally skilled.

"If you are going to dismiss guys like West because he is old and starting to tail off, doesn't that open up the argument for Bennett, Plumlee, TJones, etc. getting better?"

Well, West has already declined since the 18/9 player he used to be. Jones, Plumlee and Bennett have yet to prove that they're top-20 at their position, upside aside. Young's already shown he's better than them. Just take a glance at the box score. I am really high on Jones, though. He's ready for a breakout year, but you can't say he's better based of that. Has to prove it on the court.

"TD has been a PF since he came into the league, and Splitter is their C. Anthony Davis played some C due to Smith being out for the season, but do you really see him playing their this season with Asik on the team? Gasol will be playing next to Noah, who is a C. Gasol has played both depending on the roster, but no question where he will be slotted. Kanter logged 27 minutes a game at C for Utah, so I don't see how we can categorize Favors as a C. Favors may play there in their small ball lineups, but I guarantee you they see him as their PF on that team."

Go check their respective teams most used lineups with those players in them. They are all logging more minutes at center than power forward, and for most of them it's not even close. Notice you're speaking about what may or may not happen in the 2014 season. I did specify that what I'm basing this off of was last year's production. Davis was NO's center. Gasol was LA's center. Favors was Utah's center (Williams and Kanter next to him at power forward).


I am not sure what you are using for positioning, but you should understand that most sites that classify have no real determining criteria, so they may be using something as obvious as height. TD doesn't change his role or positioning regardless of who is on the floor. I have watched at least 50% of SA's games over the last ten years, so I know that to be fact. I can also tell you that Kanter is not a PF in any sense of the term. When he and Favors share the floor, Favors is the PF in that set.

You stated that Young was a top 10 PF, not a top 10 PF last year, and this is a discussion about the upcoming season so the fact that Gasol plays for Chicago, and Asik in NO now is what determines their positioning.

I am not sure what your criteria is for Young being better, but in player comparisons he seems to come out on the bottom end of things. Other than having a higher usage rate due to playing on the worst team in the league last season, his efficiency and %'s pale in comparison. Young is a solid player, but his PER is slightly over average for the league, and the only thing that stands out on his defense is his steals. He is a poor rebounder for his position, and has a low TS%.

http://www.basketball-reference.com/play-index/pcm_finder.cgi?request=1&sum=0&p1=youngth01&y1=2014&p2=farieke01&y2=2014&p3=joneste01&y3=2014&p4=westda01&y4=2014
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alexftbl8181 [enjin:6648741]
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Re: Bold prediction time

Post by alexftbl8181 [enjin:6648741] »

Bazz won't be on the team after this year
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