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Re: Around the NBA:2025-6

Posted: Tue Dec 30, 2025 10:35 am
by kekgeek
Jokic is out at least a month with a hypertension in his knee

Re: Around the NBA:2025-6

Posted: Tue Dec 30, 2025 10:37 am
by 60WinTim
kekgeek wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 10:35 am Jokic is out at least a month with a hypertension in his knee
Tough blow for Denver, but good it's not season-ending.

When does ANT enter the MVP conversation by process of elimination?!?

Re: Around the NBA:2025-6

Posted: Tue Dec 30, 2025 11:13 am
by AussieWolf3
60WinTim wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 10:37 am
kekgeek wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 10:35 am Jokic is out at least a month with a hypertension in his knee
Tough blow for Denver, but good it's not season-ending.

When does ANT enter the MVP conversation by process of elimination?!?
If the team had pulled off the comeback against Denver he'd already have a decent case.

Either way the national perception of Ant is much higher than the board's, so like he has for the last two years he'll get MVP votes again this year. If Webby and Jokic fall out eligibility he probably climbs into the top 5 by default.

Re: Around the NBA:2025-6

Posted: Tue Dec 30, 2025 11:49 am
by Q-is-here
AussieWolf3 wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 11:13 am
60WinTim wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 10:37 am
kekgeek wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 10:35 am Jokic is out at least a month with a hypertension in his knee
Tough blow for Denver, but good it's not season-ending.

When does ANT enter the MVP conversation by process of elimination?!?
If the team had pulled off the comeback against Denver he'd already have a decent case.

Either way the national perception of Ant is much higher than the board's, so like he has for the last two years he'll get MVP votes again this year. If Webby and Jokic fall out eligibility he probably climbs into the top 5 by default.
The national perception of Ant has always been higher than not just the board's, but even all the advanced stats we post on here, which means the board is probably closer to reality than the pundits and generic basketball fan. Charismatic scorers that make a lot of highlight-reel plays have always been highly rated (and often overrated) by NBA pundits and generic basketball fans that aren't sickos like us!

The one thing that I definitely have an appreciation of, notwithstanding Abe and FNG's urging that Ant change his ways, is that Ant doesn't play the foul-baiting game. I think he's brought in a few more national fans that are sick and tired of the grifting from some of the stars and appreciate that Ant gets fouled while usually in a natural shot motion.

Re: Around the NBA:2025-6

Posted: Tue Dec 30, 2025 11:49 am
by Phenom
kekgeek wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 10:35 am Jokic is out at least a month with a hypertension in his knee
Right now, he's projected to miss at least 15 games. The Nuggets next 15 are extremely soft but it's going to be the Jamal Murray show and teams will no doubt be loading up on him. The Wolves need to take advantage and pass them in the standings.

Re: Around the NBA:2025-6

Posted: Tue Dec 30, 2025 1:30 pm
by FNG
Q-is-here wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 11:49 am
AussieWolf3 wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 11:13 am
60WinTim wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 10:37 am

Tough blow for Denver, but good it's not season-ending.

When does ANT enter the MVP conversation by process of elimination?!?
If the team had pulled off the comeback against Denver he'd already have a decent case.

Either way the national perception of Ant is much higher than the board's, so like he has for the last two years he'll get MVP votes again this year. If Webby and Jokic fall out eligibility he probably climbs into the top 5 by default.
The national perception of Ant has always been higher than not just the board's, but even all the advanced stats we post on here, which means the board is probably closer to reality than the pundits and generic basketball fan. Charismatic scorers that make a lot of highlight-reel plays have always been highly rated (and often overrated) by NBA pundits and generic basketball fans that aren't sickos like us!

The one thing that I definitely have an appreciation of, notwithstanding Abe and FNG's urging that Ant change his ways, is that Ant doesn't play the foul-baiting game. I think he's brought in a few more national fans that are sick and tired of the grifting from some of the stars and appreciate that Ant gets fouled while usually in a natural shot motion.
Yeah, I would argue there aren't many (any?) players in the MVP race who rank 7th on their team in net rating...or even 3rd in WS/48 for that matter! But the national perception of Ant will always be higher than reality because he is an exciting player with an endearing personality. He may already be the face of the league...if number of times he appears in commercials is an indicator, he's clearly the face of the NBA! My daughter went to the British advertising awards film at the Walker a couple weeks ago and commented on all the British ads with Ant in them that we don't even see on our networks.

As for your second paragraph, Q, I'll ask this: do you think Ant doesn't foul-bait because of some lofty ethical standard, or because he just doesn't know how? I think you know what my answer would be!

Re: Around the NBA:2025-6

Posted: Tue Dec 30, 2025 1:47 pm
by rapsuperstar31
FNG wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 1:30 pm
Q-is-here wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 11:49 am
AussieWolf3 wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 11:13 am

If the team had pulled off the comeback against Denver he'd already have a decent case.

Either way the national perception of Ant is much higher than the board's, so like he has for the last two years he'll get MVP votes again this year. If Webby and Jokic fall out eligibility he probably climbs into the top 5 by default.
The national perception of Ant has always been higher than not just the board's, but even all the advanced stats we post on here, which means the board is probably closer to reality than the pundits and generic basketball fan. Charismatic scorers that make a lot of highlight-reel plays have always been highly rated (and often overrated) by NBA pundits and generic basketball fans that aren't sickos like us!

The one thing that I definitely have an appreciation of, notwithstanding Abe and FNG's urging that Ant change his ways, is that Ant doesn't play the foul-baiting game. I think he's brought in a few more national fans that are sick and tired of the grifting from some of the stars and appreciate that Ant gets fouled while usually in a natural shot motion.
Yeah, I would argue there aren't many (any?) players in the MVP race who rank 7th on their team in net rating...or even 3rd in WS/48 for that matter! But the national perception of Ant will always be higher than reality because he is an exciting player with an endearing personality. He may already be the face of the league...if number of times he appears in commercials is an indicator, he's clearly the face of the NBA! My daughter went to the British advertising awards film at the Walker a couple weeks ago and commented on all the British ads with Ant in them that we don't even see on our networks.

As for your second paragraph, Q, I'll ask this: do you think Ant doesn't foul-bait because of some lofty ethical standard, or because he just doesn't know how? I think you know what my answer would be!
Ant was a +28 yesterday, partly because Rudy stayed out a good chunk of the third quarter. The minutes Ant plays with Randle, Reid, and either Shannon or Rob absolutely tanks his on off numbers because it's a layup line without Rudy on the court. That layup line is a result mostly of Naz and Randle inability to defend the paint.

Re: Around the NBA:2025-6

Posted: Tue Dec 30, 2025 1:54 pm
by FNG
rapsuperstar31 wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 1:47 pm
FNG wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 1:30 pm
Q-is-here wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 11:49 am

The national perception of Ant has always been higher than not just the board's, but even all the advanced stats we post on here, which means the board is probably closer to reality than the pundits and generic basketball fan. Charismatic scorers that make a lot of highlight-reel plays have always been highly rated (and often overrated) by NBA pundits and generic basketball fans that aren't sickos like us!

The one thing that I definitely have an appreciation of, notwithstanding Abe and FNG's urging that Ant change his ways, is that Ant doesn't play the foul-baiting game. I think he's brought in a few more national fans that are sick and tired of the grifting from some of the stars and appreciate that Ant gets fouled while usually in a natural shot motion.
Yeah, I would argue there aren't many (any?) players in the MVP race who rank 7th on their team in net rating...or even 3rd in WS/48 for that matter! But the national perception of Ant will always be higher than reality because he is an exciting player with an endearing personality. He may already be the face of the league...if number of times he appears in commercials is an indicator, he's clearly the face of the NBA! My daughter went to the British advertising awards film at the Walker a couple weeks ago and commented on all the British ads with Ant in them that we don't even see on our networks.

As for your second paragraph, Q, I'll ask this: do you think Ant doesn't foul-bait because of some lofty ethical standard, or because he just doesn't know how? I think you know what my answer would be!
Ant was a +28 yesterday, partly because Rudy stayed out a good chunk of the third quarter. The minutes Ant plays with Randle, Reid, and either Shannon or Rob absolutely tanks his on off numbers because it's a layup line without Rudy on the court. That layup line is a result mostly of Naz and Randle inability to defend the paint.
I agree that Ant had a terrific game last night, cypress, but I'm trying to follow your logic. It seems like your first sentence should say "despite" Rudy missing much of the 3rd quarter instead of "because". Or am I being obtuse in missing the point (wouldn't be the first time!)?

Re: Around the NBA:2025-6

Posted: Tue Dec 30, 2025 2:13 pm
by AussieWolf3
FNG wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 1:54 pm
rapsuperstar31 wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 1:47 pm
FNG wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 1:30 pm

Yeah, I would argue there aren't many (any?) players in the MVP race who rank 7th on their team in net rating...or even 3rd in WS/48 for that matter! But the national perception of Ant will always be higher than reality because he is an exciting player with an endearing personality. He may already be the face of the league...if number of times he appears in commercials is an indicator, he's clearly the face of the NBA! My daughter went to the British advertising awards film at the Walker a couple weeks ago and commented on all the British ads with Ant in them that we don't even see on our networks.

As for your second paragraph, Q, I'll ask this: do you think Ant doesn't foul-bait because of some lofty ethical standard, or because he just doesn't know how? I think you know what my answer would be!
Ant was a +28 yesterday, partly because Rudy stayed out a good chunk of the third quarter. The minutes Ant plays with Randle, Reid, and either Shannon or Rob absolutely tanks his on off numbers because it's a layup line without Rudy on the court. That layup line is a result mostly of Naz and Randle inability to defend the paint.
I agree that Ant had a terrific game last night, cypress, but I'm trying to follow your logic. It seems like your first sentence should say "despite" Rudy missing much of the 3rd quarter instead of "because". Or am I being obtuse in missing the point (wouldn't be the first time!)?
Ant largely plays all of the non Rudy minutes- the drop off of Randle and Naz's defense doesn't offset the offensive tick up you get from them. Therefore Ant's on/off numbers tank.

At least that an argument that can be made. His not great on/off, net rating, and EPM certainly raise questions about just how effecting he is towards winning but I don't believe that they should lead us to conclude that he secretly an average player. There could be confounding variables in each of these metrics that fails to capture certain aspects of things.

Further there are several player rating systems and metrics that Ant performs very well in such as: BBall index, DARKO, and ESPN's net points.

Re: Around the NBA:2025-6

Posted: Tue Dec 30, 2025 2:13 pm
by 60WinTim
FNG wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 1:54 pm
rapsuperstar31 wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 1:47 pm
FNG wrote: Tue Dec 30, 2025 1:30 pm

Yeah, I would argue there aren't many (any?) players in the MVP race who rank 7th on their team in net rating...or even 3rd in WS/48 for that matter! But the national perception of Ant will always be higher than reality because he is an exciting player with an endearing personality. He may already be the face of the league...if number of times he appears in commercials is an indicator, he's clearly the face of the NBA! My daughter went to the British advertising awards film at the Walker a couple weeks ago and commented on all the British ads with Ant in them that we don't even see on our networks.

As for your second paragraph, Q, I'll ask this: do you think Ant doesn't foul-bait because of some lofty ethical standard, or because he just doesn't know how? I think you know what my answer would be!
Ant was a +28 yesterday, partly because Rudy stayed out a good chunk of the third quarter. The minutes Ant plays with Randle, Reid, and either Shannon or Rob absolutely tanks his on off numbers because it's a layup line without Rudy on the court. That layup line is a result mostly of Naz and Randle inability to defend the paint.
I agree that Ant had a terrific game last night, cypress, but I'm trying to follow your logic. It seems like your first sentence should say "despite" Rudy missing much of the 3rd quarter instead of "because". Or am I being obtuse in missing the point (wouldn't be the first time!)?
Obtuse. "staying out" meant "staying out on the court". And it is a valid point that the rotations have ANT playing in weaker lineups, thus affecting his on/off numbers. I think we are making a mountain out of a mole hill...