On paper how many teams..

[FNG]

I'm seeing 4 predictions from guys who generally have pretty smart takes here with the Wolves either making the playoffs or being right on the fringe. I'm hungry for our Wolves to be in a playoff position, so I really want to believe what you guys believe. But I'm quite far away unfortunately. I'm thinking it's going to take 46 wins to finish 8th this season, so your predictions are about 12 games above the Vegas prediction. Interestingly enough, I went back and reviewed the wins prediction thread from last season, and I note that the median prediction was also 12 games more than the Wolves eventual win total (I was 14 games high!). Here's my question:

-Have you done these prediction threads in seasons before last year, and if so, have they been pretty accurate or overly optimistic like last year? (Hint...an answer that last year was an aberration and predictions have been much more accurate in other years may bring me out of my pessimistic funk.)

[Camden [enjin:6601484]]

I'm seeing 4 predictions from guys who generally have pretty smart takes here with the Wolves either making the playoffs or being right on the fringe. I'm hungry for our Wolves to be in a playoff position, so I really want to believe what you guys believe. But I'm quite far away unfortunately. I'm thinking it's going to take 46 wins to finish 8th this season, so your predictions are about 12 games above the Vegas prediction. Interestingly enough, I went back and reviewed the wins prediction thread from last season, and I note that the median prediction was also 12 games more than the Wolves eventual win total (I was 14 games high!). Here's my question:

-Have you done these prediction threads in seasons before last year, and if so, have they been pretty accurate or overly optimistic like last year? (Hint...an answer that last year was an aberration and predictions have been much more accurate in other years may bring me out of my pessimistic funk.)

It depends on the poster. There are a handful that tend to be more optimistic. Others tend to be more pessimistic. And then some linger in the middle. The middle crowd tends to be most accurate here.

It goes without saying that nobody here expected the Wolves to get buried by injuries. Some of us did expect Ryan Saunders to be abysmal, however.

[AbeVigodaLive]

I'm seeing 4 predictions from guys who generally have pretty smart takes here with the Wolves either making the playoffs or being right on the fringe. I'm hungry for our Wolves to be in a playoff position, so I really want to believe what you guys believe. But I'm quite far away unfortunately. I'm thinking it's going to take 46 wins to finish 8th this season, so your predictions are about 12 games above the Vegas prediction. Interestingly enough, I went back and reviewed the wins prediction thread from last season, and I note that the median prediction was also 12 games more than the Wolves eventual win total (I was 14 games high!). Here's my question:

-Have you done these prediction threads in seasons before last year, and if so, have they been pretty accurate or overly optimistic like last year? (Hint...an answer that last year was an aberration and predictions have been much more accurate in other years may bring me out of my pessimistic funk.)

It depends on the poster. There are a handful that tend to be more optimistic. Others tend to be more pessimistic. And then some linger in the middle. The middle crowd tends to be most accurate here.

It goes without saying that nobody here expected the Wolves to get buried by injuries. Some of us did expect Ryan Saunders to be abysmal, however.

I'd actually think that the pessimistic crowd wins easily. Heck, My realistic takes are often seen as pessimistic, yet I'm over on wins nearly every year. The wolves traditionally have done worse than their Pythagorean projected total too

[Lipoli390]

I'm seeing 4 predictions from guys who generally have pretty smart takes here with the Wolves either making the playoffs or being right on the fringe. I'm hungry for our Wolves to be in a playoff position, so I really want to believe what you guys believe. But I'm quite far away unfortunately. I'm thinking it's going to take 46 wins to finish 8th this season, so your predictions are about 12 games above the Vegas prediction. Interestingly enough, I went back and reviewed the wins prediction thread from last season, and I note that the median prediction was also 12 games more than the Wolves eventual win total (I was 14 games high!). Here's my question:

-Have you done these prediction threads in seasons before last year, and if so, have they been pretty accurate or overly optimistic like last year? (Hint...an answer that last year was an aberration and predictions have been much more accurate in other years may bring me out of my pessimistic funk.)

It depends on the poster. There are a handful that tend to be more optimistic. Others tend to be more pessimistic. And then some linger in the middle. The middle crowd tends to be most accurate here.

It goes without saying that nobody here expected the Wolves to get buried by injuries. Some of us did expect Ryan Saunders to be abysmal, however.

I agree with you on both points, Cam. My view is that this roster, if relatively healthy, should win 42-45 games under Finch. If the Wolves are relatively healthy throughout the season and win only 33-35 games, then it's time to think seriously about trading KAT and DLO and starting a new re-build around Edwards and McDaniels.