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Re: Might as well talk draft....
Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2020 11:03 am
by Monster
lipoli390 wrote:SameOldNudityDrew wrote:Personally, I really like Haliburton.
I'm aware that most of my favorite guys are not stars but usually role players, specifically, unselfish dudes who vastly outperform their physical and skill limitations and leave everything on the court every game, driven both by a desire to win and joy at the opportunity to play. Brewer has long been one of my favorite guys. Okogie is up there. Sadly, Jimmy was too.
Haliburton seems like more of a cerebral player than those guys, and not quite the "dog" I love, where you can tell they're dialed up to 100 on every play. But man, he's close. I do think if Wiseman, Ball, or Edwards actually reach their potential, they'd be better picks. But the relatively high chance they won't and the possibility of trading down a bit and getting another asset would make a trade-down in which we pick up Haliburton and another asset (a first rounder next year would be awesome) kind of exciting to me, even though positionally, I know we really need a switchable 4 who can stretch the floor most of all (who doesn't?).
I've loved Haliburton as a prospect for a long time. Most analysts agree he has a high floor, but believe he doesn't have a particularly high ceiling. I agree he has a high floor, but I also think he has a really high ceiling. As I reflect on current and past NBA stars, I see nearly all of them having the following four characteristics: (1) really high basketball IQs; (2) extreme competitive drive; (3) highly developed skills for their position; and (4) either elite athleticism or good size for their position. Magic Johnson and Larry Bird are the two best examples, but there are others like Steve Nash, John Stockton, Karl Malone, Tim Duncan, etc. None of those players were elite athletes, although most of them had good or very good size for their respective positions. Steve Nash is at least one example of an NBA star who just had the first three characteristics. I don't think he had particularly good size for his position.
Haliburton strikes me as a guy who fits the mold of the players I listed. He appears to have at least three of the four main characteristics I mentioned - i.e., an extremely high basketball IQ, high level skill set (passing, ball-handling and stationary perimeter shooting), and very good size for his position. I don't have a full sense of his competitive drive and that's the only thing holding me back so far from putting him in my top 3. The good news, however, is that there are absolutely no reports questioning his motor or competitiveness. So he might end up in my top three by tomorrow when I post my draft board.
People also rave about his leadership and how people gravitate towards him. The trainer I mentioned said everyone wants to be on Halliburton's teams when they scrimmage. He said Halliburton's team has won nearly every game they have played. He said there will be games where he has 2 points and games where he drops 20. He just wins.
Re: Might as well talk draft....
Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2020 12:06 pm
by Crazysauce
I say select wiseman at 1 and trade 17 and culver to move up to 6 and grab Halliburton.
Re: Might as well talk draft....
Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2020 12:26 pm
by AbeVigodaLive
crazysauce wrote:I say select wiseman at 1 and trade 17 and culver to move up to 6 and grab Halliburton.
He won't be there at #6.
I think he's the guy who's going earlier than projected... especially since it's a draft with so many flaws/unknowns at the top.
Re: Might as well talk draft....
Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:03 pm
by Q12543 [enjin:6621299]
Don't forget that some of the existing stars today were at one point in time considered just "solid" prospects without a ton of upside - Kawhi Leonard, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry to name a few.
Re: Might as well talk draft....
Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:10 pm
by BizarroJerry [enjin:6592520]
AbeVigodaLive wrote:crazysauce wrote:I say select wiseman at 1 and trade 17 and culver to move up to 6 and grab Halliburton.
He won't be there at #6.
I think he's the guy who's going earlier than projected... especially since it's a draft with so many flaws/unknowns at the top.
Yep and I think we should move up to get Saddiq if he's there around 13.
Re: Might as well talk draft....
Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:31 pm
by SameOldNudityDrew
Q12543 wrote:Don't forget that some of the existing stars today were at one point in time considered just "solid" prospects without a ton of upside - Kawhi Leonard, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry to name a few.
Sure, but there are lots of guys who were considered solid prospects who busted too. Gotta go by what we know about these guys and pray for some luck. I like Haliburton a lot. I'd love him on our team. But it's fair to question what his ceiling is given his physical profile and lack of any truly elite skills, as much as we all love his intangibles, character, and two-way game. He'd be a great fit as a defender who can shoot and playmake too.
There's a lower chance that Wiseman and Edwards pan out, but given what they have flashed, I personally think it's pretty clear the upside is higher if they do put it together. Just watch those guys play. Wiseman's physical abilities at his length are really rare. Edwards was inefficient, but c'mon, his offensive arsenal and physicality are really impressive. Both of those guys look like stars. Sometimes that doesn't pan out. I know the analytics revolution would say to ignore that. But really, I think that counts for something.
And at the end of the day, we really don't know that much about these guys. There's so much to chance that we never want to admit, especially this time of year. That's the risk you take.
I go back and forth all the time in this draft. Some days I want Wiseman. Others its Edwards. Lots of days I want to trade down for a guy like Haliburton and an asset or Vassell and a better asset. Haliburton is my favorite top prospect, but I'm still less confident about this draft than most drafts.
Re: Might as well talk draft....
Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:42 pm
by Hicks123 [enjin:6700838]
SameOldNudityDrew wrote:Q12543 wrote:Don't forget that some of the existing stars today were at one point in time considered just "solid" prospects without a ton of upside - Kawhi Leonard, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry to name a few.
Sure, but there are lots of guys who were considered solid prospects who busted too. Gotta go by what we know about these guys and pray for some luck.
I like Haliburton a lot. I'd love him on our team. But it's fair to question what his ceiling is given his physical profile and lack of any truly elite skillsI like Haliburton a lot. I'd love him on our team. But it's fair to question what his ceiling is given his physical profile and lack of any truly elite skills, as much as we all love his intangibles, character, and two-way game. He'd be a great fit as a defender who can shoot and playmake too.
Bold section above is just flat out wrong! No elite skill?
Shot greater than 50% as a guard both college seasons (more than 1/2 shots are 3's) = ELITE
Shot greater than 40% from 3 both college seasons = ELITE (especially when you watch highlights, and many of these shots are easy NBA range)
Nearly 6 Rebounds per game.....from a PG = ELITE
2.5 Steals per game = ELITE
Playmaking ability = ELITE
The absolute ONLY thing not elite for this guy is his perceived athletic ceiling. And I will state, this is why he is not in running for #1 in this draft. If he had Ja Morants athleticism, he would be FAR AND AWAY the best prospect in this draft. And yes, this certainly impacts his prospects to be elite in the NBA. I just find it a bit off to say he has no elite skill. His elite skillset is in fact why he is coveted despite his lack of explosiveness as an athlete.
Re: Might as well talk draft....
Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:47 pm
by Crazysauce
https://twitter.com/DaneMooreNBA/status/1328416866843430913?s=19
This says here that we havent even talked to Wiseman. If this is true than Rosas needs to be fired immediately. There is no excuse not to do you due diligence with all the top prospects. Why would you not talk to him. It makes no sense. This is the reason our franchise is a laughing stock of the league next to the Knicks. This is unacceptable.
Re: Might as well talk draft....
Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:47 pm
by Camden [enjin:6601484]
James Wiseman said that he hasn't talked to Minnesota. He hasn't had any meetings or workouts with the Wolves. Oddly, he did say that Minnesota gave him "recommendations and stuff." The fuck does that mean? Is Gersson Rosas really doing his due diligence if there's been no contact made with a top prospect in the draft? All of that was incredibly confusing to listen to.
Re: Might as well talk draft....
Posted: Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:54 pm
by Camden [enjin:6601484]
I do not trust Gersson Rosas to make the right decisions in this draft. I'm really worried now.