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Re: Playoffs predictor
Posted: Sat Mar 23, 2024 12:38 pm
by Coolbreeze44
I have us going 9-3 down the stretch with the only losses coming against Denver (2) and either the Lakers or Phoenix on the road.
Re: Playoffs predictor
Posted: Sun Mar 24, 2024 5:38 pm
by BloopOracle
Clippers go down at home to the 76ers, let's take care of business tonight and build that cushion
Re: Playoffs predictor
Posted: Sun Mar 24, 2024 5:47 pm
by Q-is-here
BloopOracle wrote: ↑Sun Mar 24, 2024 5:38 pm
Clippers go down at home to the 76ers, let's take care of business tonight and build that cushion
Yeah, great outcome for us. That's gotta be a Klunker for some of you prognosticators out there, no? Clippers at full strength too. And Philly has been struggling without Embiid. Bad loss for them.
Re: Playoffs predictor
Posted: Tue Mar 26, 2024 10:14 am
by 60WinTim
I added the Rockets to the KOM because they are clearly a threat to the Warriors. The Pelicans have overtaken the Clippers for the 4th seed. A cushion for the Kings has developed for the 6th seed. That is going to be a hell of a play-in!
A couple of other notes:
- while the Nuggets are a +3 in anti-klunkers, they only have one more anti-klunker opportunity remaining. The KOM assumes they will win all but one of their remaining games.
- the Wolves have 4 more anti-klunker opportunities, including 2 at Denver. Winning those 2 games would put them in a tie AND give the tiebreaker to the Wolves.
- the Thunder have 5 more anti-klunker opportunities, including tonight at the Pelicans.
While Denver is in the driver's seat, this really is a tight 3-team race for the #1 seed.
Code: Select all
Top Teams: 76ers,Bucks,Cavaliers,Celtics,Clippers,Heat,Kings,Knicks,Lakers,Magic,Mavericks,Nuggets,Pacers,Pelicans,Rockets,Suns,Thunder,Timberwolves,Warriors
Bottom Teams: Grizzlies,Hornets,Jazz,Nets,Pistons,Raptors,Spurs,Trail Blazers,Wizards
Projections:
Seed Team Wins Losses Klunks Anti-Ks Net-Ks
1. Nuggets 60 22 1 4 3
2. Wolves 56 26 4 2 -2
3. Thunder 56 26 2 2 0
4. Pels 52 30 3 3 0
5. Clips 51 31 7 2 -5
6. Kings 50 32 5 4 -1
7. Mavs 47 35 2 0 -2
8. Lakers 47 35 3 1 -2
9. Suns 46 36 4 2 -2
10. Wars 43 39 5 2 -3
11. Rockets 43 39 2 2 0
* - Klunkers / Anti-Klunkers since the All-Star Break
Re: Playoffs predictor
Posted: Tue Mar 26, 2024 10:37 am
by FNG
Thanks for the update, Tim. Our models are quite different, as I have the Wolves destined for third place unless they can upset Denver a couple times. While I am showing some separation 1-4, I currently have a logjam at 5-8 which I'll update i that thread. My current 1-4:
Denver: 59
OkC: 57
Wolves: 55
Clips: 51
Re: Playoffs predictor
Posted: Tue Mar 26, 2024 9:25 pm
by BloopOracle
Pelicans go down at home to OKC, the top 3 cushion rapidly grows. Seems like yesterday we were sweating the Clippers catching us
Re: Playoffs predictor
Posted: Tue Mar 26, 2024 9:57 pm
by kekgeek
Wolves are a virtual lock at top 3. There magic number is 6. If the wolves went 5-6 down the stretch the clippers would have to go 11-0
Re: Playoffs predictor
Posted: Tue Mar 26, 2024 10:19 pm
by Q-is-here
Dang. I was kind of rooting for the Pelicans in that one since the 3rd seed seemed pretty secure for us and the 2nd seed potentially within our grasp. That's a big road win for OKC.
Re: Playoffs predictor
Posted: Tue Mar 26, 2024 10:41 pm
by Coolbreeze44
Q-is-here wrote: ↑Tue Mar 26, 2024 10:19 pm
Dang. I was kind of rooting for the Pelicans in that one since the 3rd seed seemed pretty secure for us and the 2nd seed potentially within our grasp. That's a big road win for OKC.
Q, I still hope for the first seed. But whether we finish 1st, 2nd, or 3rd, I think we have a great chance to make the conference finals. I don't believe OKC can beat us in a 7 game series, regardless of who has the home court advantage.
Re: Playoffs predictor
Posted: Wed Mar 27, 2024 12:17 am
by Phenom
I'm optimistic about tomorrow's slate. Phoenix coming off a bad loss will be plenty motivated against Denver. Houston is riding a 9 game win streak against OKC who played today. Wolves need to smack the Pistons up and take care of business.