Early Season evaluation: Shabazz Muhammad
Posted: Sat Dec 13, 2014 9:41 pm
We're now over 20 games into the season, which means it's fair to start assessing our players. Let's do Shabazz next.
Overview - Shabazz was not the guy Flip planned on taking when the 2013 draft proceedings began. But through a series of decisions made by the teams ahead of us, Flip ultimately had to go to Plan C (or D, or F, or....), which involved trading down and ultimately grabbing Shabazz at #14. It was a controversial pick and largely panned by many fans and followers, including your's truly. The reason was first and foremost that Muhammad somewhat underwhelmed at UCLA. He had poor handles, a mediocre first step, and seemed unable to go right. And while he scored at a decent clip, he averaged less than 1 assist per game and wasn't very efficient. In addition, it turned out he was a year older than previously reported, which is fairly meaningful in the world of player development and potential. The bottom line is that there were, and still are to a degree, lots of Shabazz skeptics.
Offense - I've never seen a guy with so many limitations skill-wise be able to put up points at such a high rate (22 points per 36 minutes so far this season). It turns out his greatest skill is desire. In the same way Dennis Rodman would go to hell and back to get a rebound, Shabazz does the same thing to get a bucket or draw a foul. As a result, if there is a fast break, Shabazz will run harder than anyone else to fill the lane. If there is a missed shot by a team mate, he will crash the glass harder than anyone else to get that rebound. If there is a loose ball around the bucket, he will chase after it with more ferocity than anyone else. If there is a an open lane for cutting to the hoop, he will quickly fill it. And if he gets the ball anywhere near the rim, he looks to dunk it. This is how he gets the majority of his points - relentless pursuit of shots at the rim.
And while Bazz gets a ton of his points through pure heart, hustle, and broken plays, he also has a very reliable post up game, with a patented lefty push shot as his bread and butter. It's not an easy shot to make, especially turning baseline, but he does it with enough consistency that it has become a good weapon. We've seen the beginnings of a counter move turning the opposite direction, but he still isn't completely comfortable doing it yet. That should come with time and make him even more dangerous.
Bazz's outside shooting comes purely through catch and shoot opportunities. He simply doesn't even attempt pull-up jumpers off the dribble. I never saw him do it at UCLA and I have never seen him do it in Minnesota. This somewhat handicaps Bazz as an end-of-game shotmaker, as the ability to put the ball on the floor and pull up on a dime for a jumper is sort of the hallmark of many clutch scorers. His catch-and-shoot outside shot seems OK, but frankly, he is so relentless at cutting and posting into the paint that he just doesn't take many shots outside. Ultimately, he needs to become a reliable 3-point shooter to become a truly great scorer.
One of the problems when Bazz is in the game is floor spacing. Since he loves to post up and cut into the paint, it requires either the PF or C to step outside and free up enough room for him to operate. And sometimes he doesn't recognize when the paint is already occupied, yet he goes there anyway and clogs it up further.
Where Bazz gets panned the most offensively is his passing. He's become slightly better since his UCLA days and rookie season. But let's face it, the guy looks to score first and foremost. And when he does make a pass, it's almost always just a basic kick out or swing pass. He rarely finds cutters and I don't think I've ever seen Adelman or Flip run a pick and roll with him as a ball handler. Again, this is a limitation that prevents him from more positively impacting the overall team offense while he's on the floor. In other words, if he isn't scoring, he's really not doing anything to help anyone else score.
One benefit of Bazz's lack of dribbling and passing is that he doesn't turn the ball over (1.3 TOs per 36 minutes). His proclivity to just get himself in position by moving without the ball and then quickly getting the shot up leaves little opportunity for him to get called for traveling, charges, double-dribbles, carries, or errant passes. The result is that he is one of the more efficient offensive players on the Wolves on a per possession basis.
Defense - Bazz is not a good defender. I would say he was terrible last season and he's just bad this season, so I guess you could say there has been some improvement. He does put in a decent effort and gets into a very good stance. He's also not half-bad at fighting through ball screens. But the problem is that he has poor lateral foot speed, so whenever he's on a nimbler perimeter player, he has a tough time keeping him in front of him.
Also, as a team defender Bazz struggles. His rotations can be late and his overall awareness of what's going on around him seems to be poor.
It would also be nice if Bazz pursued defensive rebounds as hard as he pursues offensive rebounds. He gets as many D-boards as the far weaker Zach LaVine and Andrew Wiggins do (3.3 per 36 minutes). Given his size and strength, he should be doing a LOT better on the defensive glass.
Summary - Bazz is a very unique player, with very distinct strengths and limitations. Overall, I think he helps more than he hurts, but not by much. I think 6th man scorer is the absolutely perfect role for him for now. If he eventually develops a better all-around game, I could definitely see him being a good starting SF in this league.
Overview - Shabazz was not the guy Flip planned on taking when the 2013 draft proceedings began. But through a series of decisions made by the teams ahead of us, Flip ultimately had to go to Plan C (or D, or F, or....), which involved trading down and ultimately grabbing Shabazz at #14. It was a controversial pick and largely panned by many fans and followers, including your's truly. The reason was first and foremost that Muhammad somewhat underwhelmed at UCLA. He had poor handles, a mediocre first step, and seemed unable to go right. And while he scored at a decent clip, he averaged less than 1 assist per game and wasn't very efficient. In addition, it turned out he was a year older than previously reported, which is fairly meaningful in the world of player development and potential. The bottom line is that there were, and still are to a degree, lots of Shabazz skeptics.
Offense - I've never seen a guy with so many limitations skill-wise be able to put up points at such a high rate (22 points per 36 minutes so far this season). It turns out his greatest skill is desire. In the same way Dennis Rodman would go to hell and back to get a rebound, Shabazz does the same thing to get a bucket or draw a foul. As a result, if there is a fast break, Shabazz will run harder than anyone else to fill the lane. If there is a missed shot by a team mate, he will crash the glass harder than anyone else to get that rebound. If there is a loose ball around the bucket, he will chase after it with more ferocity than anyone else. If there is a an open lane for cutting to the hoop, he will quickly fill it. And if he gets the ball anywhere near the rim, he looks to dunk it. This is how he gets the majority of his points - relentless pursuit of shots at the rim.
And while Bazz gets a ton of his points through pure heart, hustle, and broken plays, he also has a very reliable post up game, with a patented lefty push shot as his bread and butter. It's not an easy shot to make, especially turning baseline, but he does it with enough consistency that it has become a good weapon. We've seen the beginnings of a counter move turning the opposite direction, but he still isn't completely comfortable doing it yet. That should come with time and make him even more dangerous.
Bazz's outside shooting comes purely through catch and shoot opportunities. He simply doesn't even attempt pull-up jumpers off the dribble. I never saw him do it at UCLA and I have never seen him do it in Minnesota. This somewhat handicaps Bazz as an end-of-game shotmaker, as the ability to put the ball on the floor and pull up on a dime for a jumper is sort of the hallmark of many clutch scorers. His catch-and-shoot outside shot seems OK, but frankly, he is so relentless at cutting and posting into the paint that he just doesn't take many shots outside. Ultimately, he needs to become a reliable 3-point shooter to become a truly great scorer.
One of the problems when Bazz is in the game is floor spacing. Since he loves to post up and cut into the paint, it requires either the PF or C to step outside and free up enough room for him to operate. And sometimes he doesn't recognize when the paint is already occupied, yet he goes there anyway and clogs it up further.
Where Bazz gets panned the most offensively is his passing. He's become slightly better since his UCLA days and rookie season. But let's face it, the guy looks to score first and foremost. And when he does make a pass, it's almost always just a basic kick out or swing pass. He rarely finds cutters and I don't think I've ever seen Adelman or Flip run a pick and roll with him as a ball handler. Again, this is a limitation that prevents him from more positively impacting the overall team offense while he's on the floor. In other words, if he isn't scoring, he's really not doing anything to help anyone else score.
One benefit of Bazz's lack of dribbling and passing is that he doesn't turn the ball over (1.3 TOs per 36 minutes). His proclivity to just get himself in position by moving without the ball and then quickly getting the shot up leaves little opportunity for him to get called for traveling, charges, double-dribbles, carries, or errant passes. The result is that he is one of the more efficient offensive players on the Wolves on a per possession basis.
Defense - Bazz is not a good defender. I would say he was terrible last season and he's just bad this season, so I guess you could say there has been some improvement. He does put in a decent effort and gets into a very good stance. He's also not half-bad at fighting through ball screens. But the problem is that he has poor lateral foot speed, so whenever he's on a nimbler perimeter player, he has a tough time keeping him in front of him.
Also, as a team defender Bazz struggles. His rotations can be late and his overall awareness of what's going on around him seems to be poor.
It would also be nice if Bazz pursued defensive rebounds as hard as he pursues offensive rebounds. He gets as many D-boards as the far weaker Zach LaVine and Andrew Wiggins do (3.3 per 36 minutes). Given his size and strength, he should be doing a LOT better on the defensive glass.
Summary - Bazz is a very unique player, with very distinct strengths and limitations. Overall, I think he helps more than he hurts, but not by much. I think 6th man scorer is the absolutely perfect role for him for now. If he eventually develops a better all-around game, I could definitely see him being a good starting SF in this league.