Playoffs predictor

[Coolbreeze44]

I see us going 2-2 in the next 4 which would keep us at a 54 win pace.

Cool, it's fun having different models going at the same time, and keep the updates coming. My model is a little more like Tim's, and if we go 2-2, the 2 anti-klunkers would get us back to 57 wins.

Okay, my model maintains its pace. I'm still at 54 wins.

[60WinTim]

Over then next week the Wolves have 3 days off and then two games at Utah. Most of the other West playoff teams will be playing each other over that time frame. You would hope we can relax a bit and take in the enormity of what the Wolves have accomplished thus far.

The current KOM:

Code: Select all

Top Teams:		76ers,Bucks,Cavaliers,Celtics,Clippers,Heat,Kings,Knicks,Lakers,Magic,Mavericks,Nuggets,Pacers,Pelicans,Suns,Thunder,Timberwolves,Warriors					
							
Bottom Teams:		Grizzlies,Hornets,Jazz,Nets,Pistons,Raptors,Rockets,Spurs,Trail Blazers,Wizards					
							
							
Projections:							
	Seed	Team	Wins	Losses	Klunks	Anti-Ks	Net-Ks
	1.	Nuggets	58	24	1	2	-1
	2.	Wolves	57	25	3	2	1
	3.	Thunder	56	26	2	1	1
	4.	Clips	54	28	4	1	3
	5.	Pels	52	30	2	2	0
	6.	Kings	51	31	3	3	0
	7.	Mavs	48	34	2	0	2
	8.	Lakers	48	34	2	1	1
	9.	Suns	47	35	4	2	2
	10.	Wars	45	37	3	1	2
							
* - Klunkers / Anti-Klunkers since the All-Star Break							

[FNG]

I loved the combo last night of the Wolves Anti and the Thunder Klunker! The good news is that my forecast (not adjusted YET for KAT or possibly Rudy) has the Wolves now tied with Denver at 57 wins...a game ahead of the Thunder and 3 ahead of the Clips. In light of what I'm going to write in the next paragraph, it's odd that I'm more optimistic than Cool and slightly more optimistic than Tim, but again...I may have to adjust my model to account for injuries. In all fairness, I may have to also adjust for the Clips if Kawhi is out...we found out last night how vital he is to the,

The bad news? I still would predict the Wolves are destined for 4th place if Kawhi is healthy. We'll have to see what happens, but if my negative prediction holds up, I may start a thread evaluating how our potential 4/5 first round matchups might look.

GO WOLVES!!!!!!!!

[kekgeek]

I loved the combo last night of the Wolves Anti and the Thunder Klunker! The good news is that my forecast (not adjusted YET for KAT or possibly Rudy) has the Wolves now tied with Denver at 57 wins...a game ahead of the Thunder and 3 ahead of the Clips. In light of what I'm going to write in the next paragraph, it's odd that I'm more optimistic than Cool and slightly more optimistic than Tim, but again...I may have to adjust my model to account for injuries. In all fairness, I may have to also adjust for the Clips if Kawhi is out...we found out last night how vital he is to the,

The bad news? I still would predict the Wolves are destined for 4th place if Kawhi is healthy. We'll have to see what happens, but if my negative prediction holds up, I may start a thread evaluating how our potential 4/5 first round matchups might look.

GO WOLVES!!!!!!!!

I will say the win was so huge. Wolves are up 3 games on the clippers but have the tiebreaker so a 4 game lead. Meaning if wolves go 8-8 the rest of the way the clippers would need to go 12-4 to pass us. Such a big win

[60WinTim]

I will say the win was so huge. Wolves are up 3 games on the clippers but have the tiebreaker so a 4 game lead. Meaning if wolves go 8-8 the rest of the way the clippers would need to go 12-4 to pass us. Such a big win

Your math is a bit off... The Wolves have a 2-game lead in the loss column. So the Clippers would have to lose 3 less games than the Wolves.

But your spot on about it being a HUGE win!

[kekgeek]

I will say the win was so huge. Wolves are up 3 games on the clippers but have the tiebreaker so a 4 game lead. Meaning if wolves go 8-8 the rest of the way the clippers would need to go 12-4 to pass us. Such a big win

Your math is a bit off... The Wolves have a 2-game lead in the loss column. So the Clippers would have to lose 3 less games than the Wolves.

But your spot on about it being a HUGE win!

You’re right, clippers have more games. If the wolves go 8-8 the clippers would have to go 13-5

[Carlos Danger]

16 games left for us. I count the splits as follows:

10 home games. 6 road.

8 games against teams with winning records (as of today) and obviously leaves 8 against teams with losing records.

Not a terrible schedule. But not a cake walk either. Seems like the play in playoff spot has done what they hoped (cutting down on tanking). As of today, only two teams appear to be officially eliminated. Back in the good ol' days, we used to be eliminated after the first month of play

[Q-is-here]

Pelicans got spanked at home by Cleveland, which helps maintain a nice cushion between us and the #5 seed. Home court advantage in the first round looks increasingly probable.

No help from Miami though, who got beat by Denver at home. Seems like the Nuggets are peaking at the right time. If we want to overtake them in the seeding, we'll have to take matters into our own hands and beat them mano a mano. Not sure we can do that without KAT.

[FNG]

Pelicans got spanked at home by Cleveland, which helps maintain a nice cushion between us and the #5 seed. Home court advantage in the first round looks increasingly probable.

No help from Miami though, who got beat by Denver at home. Seems like the Nuggets are peaking at the right time. If we want to overtake them in the seeding, we'll have to take matters into our own hands and beat them mano a mano. Not sure we can do that without KAT.

Yeah, I wasn't afraid of dropping out of the top 4 even before last night, but the Pels losing last night makes it even more certain. It sure would have helped us with Denver if Jimmy Butler cared anything about the regular season. Q, you are so correct that our chance of the #1 seed rides on beating Denver at least twice and maybe even three times, but that isn't likely without KAT.

Denver's Anti puts them back in the league in my forecast, but the Wolves are second:

Denver 58
Wolves 57
OkC 56
Clips 54

We need to sweep Utah this weekend. The Jazz only have wins against woeful Washington and San Antonio in their past 13 games, so we should be able to take care of business.

[Carlos Danger]

We need to sweep Utah this weekend. The Jazz only have wins against woeful Washington and San Antonio in their past 13 games, so we should be able to take care of business.

I just took a peek at that Utah team. Kessler stats are not nearly as impressive as he was last season, so that might make the Rudy trade a little easier to swallow. And the other pick we sent them this year (Keyonte George) has been their leading scorer several times recently, but his overall advanced stats show he's below replacement level. Obviously that can change going forward. Still - goes to show how fickle young/unproven draft picks can be. (Nobody needs to tell us - ha!).